LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 10/10/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (+9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53

Kroger Field is the location where the Kentucky Wildcats (4-1) will try to beat the LSU Tigers (4-1) on Saturday, October 10, 2026. LSU opens this matchup as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 53.

The LSU Tigers head into this game 4-1 for this season. In their last matchup, the Tigers faced the McNeese State Cowboys and notched a win by a score of 63-14. The LSU Tigers ran the ball 53 times and recorded 366 yards, which earned them an average of 6.9 yards per attempt. In all, they had 101 plays which gave them 731 yards. LSU allowed 8 completions on 17 attempts for a total of 94 yards, and a completion percentage of 47.1%. On the ground, the Tigers gave up 102 yds on 30 attempts, which is an average of 3.4 yds per rush allowed.

The Tigers have attained 2,739 total yards this season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, LSU has earned 9 passing touchdowns and 19 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 8 times. LSU has earned 141 first downs, and they have been called for 31 penalties for 256 yds. As a unit they're averaging 237.6 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 15th in Division 1. Concerning getting in the endzone, the LSU Tigers have an average of 43.6 PPG.

The Tigers rank 20th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 15.2 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 2.0 yards per tote and 58.4 rushing yards per game on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 292 yards via the ground game in 5 contests. When talking about yards through the air, the Tigers have given up 811 yards which ranks them 32nd in college football. They have conceded 162.2 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 57.2%. For the year, they have relinquished 220.6 yards per outing which ranks them 2nd in Division 1. They have given up 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Wildcats head into this matchup 4-1 for this season. For their last game, the Wildcats took home the win by a final score of 35-34 against the South Carolina Gamecocks. The Wildcats ended up finishing with 394 yds while running 78 plays (5.1 yds per play). Kentucky rushed for 3.3 yds per carry, totaling 122 yards on 37 attempts. Kentucky allowed 37 rushing attempts for 232 yards (6.3 yards per rush). The Wildcats secondary conceded a completion percentage of 54.1%, relinquishing 226 yds on 20 for 37 passing.

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Wildcats are sitting 48th in Division 1 scoring 34.6 points per outing. The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 416.8 yards per game, which has them sitting 53rd in Division 1. The Kentucky offense has accrued 259 penalty yds on 27 infractions, which has them sitting 99th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 1 pick while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have obtained 107 first downs. For the year thus far, the Wildcats have a total of 1,148 passing yards as well as an average of 229.6 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 73rd in college football. They average 187.2 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 936 yards for the season.

Kentucky has allowed a total of 721 yards on the ground (144.2 yards per outing) as well as 9 touchdowns on the ground for the campaign. They have yielded 7 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 232.4 yards per game, ranking them 104th in the country. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 134 total points. Their defense has totaled 4 fumbles recovered and 6 picks so far this year. The Wildcats defense has been on the field for 361 plays, which ranks 128th in college football. The Wildcats are surrendering 26.8 points per game, which has them ranked 103rd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wildcats +9.5

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