Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 10/31/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026

Location: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Tar Heels (+14.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The Miami Hurricanes (7-0) are on their way to Kenan Stadium on Saturday, October 31, 2026 where they will compete against the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3). North Carolina is 14.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 51.5.

The Miami Hurricanes come into this game with a record of 7-0 for this season. In their last matchup, the Hurricanes stepped onto the field against the Pittsburgh Panthers and walked away with a win by a score of 52-23. The Miami Hurricanes ran the rock 39 different times and accounted for 119 yds, which earned them an average of 3.1 yards per attempt. For the game, they had 76 plays for 506 yards. Miami allowed 21 completions on 35 attempts for a total of 334 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. Against the run, the Hurricanes gave up 69 yds on 26 tries, which calculates to 2.7 yards per rush surrendered.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Miami Hurricanes have an average of 49.0 points per outing. As a unit they're averaging 211.1 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 18th in Division 1. The Hurricanes have earned 3,863 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Miami has amassed 25 touchdowns through the air and 20 touchdowns on the ground. Miami has earned 199 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 48 infractions for 440 yards. They have surrendered the ball 3 times.

The Hurricanes are ranked 11th in the country regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 15.3 points per game. They are giving up an average of 2.4 yards per rushing attempt and 60.0 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 420 rushing yards through 7 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Hurricanes have allowed 1,674 yards which puts them in 95th in D-1. They have allowed 239.1 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 59.8%. For the year, they are conceding 299.1 yards per game which ranks them 21st in Division 1. They have given up 9 touchdowns via the pass as well as 3 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Tar Heels step onto the field holding a record of 4-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Tar Heels went home defeated by a final of 31-30 when they faced the Syracuse Orange. North Carolina rushed the ball for 4.0 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 101 yards on 25 carries. The Tar Heels finished the game with 372 yds while running 69 plays (5.4 yds per play). The Tar Heels pass defense allowed a completion rate of 58.8%, relinquishing 256 yds on 20 for 34 through the air. North Carolina conceded 49 running attempts for 199 yds (4.1 yards per rush).

The North Carolina Tar Heels maintain an average of 335.9 yards/game, ranking them 112th in Division 1. The North Carolina offense has accrued 222 penalty yds on 28 violations, which ranks 136th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They maintain an average of 114.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 798 yards overall. They have thrown 5 picks while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they have earned 136 1st downs. When looking at their ability to score points, the Tar Heels are sitting 99th in Division 1 holding an average of 24.4 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Tar Heels have thrown for a total of 1,553 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 221.9 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 76th in D-1.

The Tar Heels are surrendering 20.9 points per game, ranking them 42nd in college football. North Carolina has conceded a total of 1,083 yards on the ground (154.7 yards per contest) and 8 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 218.0 yards/outing, ranking them 85th in D-1. The Tar Heels defense has been on the field for 517 plays, which is 114th in Division 1. They have tallied 3 fumbles and 5 interceptions for the season. Overall, they have allowed 146 total points.

Who will win tonight's Hurricanes/Tar Heels college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Hurricanes -14.5

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