Miami RedHawks vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 10/10/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami RedHawks vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium is the location where the UMass Minutemen (4-1) will try to defeat the Miami RedHawks (2-3) on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Miami opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is 47.5.

The Miami RedHawks come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 for this year. In their last contest, the RedHawks played the Bowling Green Falcons and went home with a loss by a final score of 24-20. The Miami Redhawks ended up running the ball 35 different times and recorded 108 yds, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per attempt. In all, they had 59 plays which totaled 306 yds. Miami relinquished 25 pass completions on 37 tries for 305 yards, and a completion rate of 67.6%. Against the run, the RedHawks gave up 60 yards on 23 tries, which calculates to 2.6 yards per rush surrendered.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Miami RedHawks hold an average of 26.8 points per game. As a team they're averaging 100.2 yards in the run game which ranks them 128th in the nation. The RedHawks currently have 1,856 total yards for the year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Miami has amassed 8 touchdowns through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. Miami has accounted for 99 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 34 penalties for 303 yards. They have turned the football over 4 different times.

The RedHawks are ranked 114th in D-1 regarding team defense, conceding 29.2 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per tote and 109.8 rushing yards per game on the campaign. Overall, they have given up 549 yards via the ground game in 5 contests. Regarding passing yards, the RedHawks have allowed 1,450 yds which ranks them 135th in the nation. They have conceded 290.0 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 66.3%. For the year, they are conceding 399.8 yards per contest which has them sitting 111th in D-1. They have conceded 13 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 7 touchdowns via the ground game.

Get all of our College Football Picks

The Minutemen come into this game with a record of 4-1 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Minutemen took a defeat with a final score of 38-14 when they played the Eastern Michigan Eagles. UMass gave up 39 run attempts for 192 yds (4.9 yards per rush). The Minutemen passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 70.0%, relinquishing 219 yards on 21 out of 30 through the air. The Minutemen ended up finishing with 316 yards and they ran 52 plays (6.1 yds per play). UMass ran the ball for 4.2 yds per attempt, finishing with 106 yds on 25 attempts.

When looking at their ability to score points, the Minutemen are sitting 64th in college football with an average of 31.8 PPG. The UMass Minutemen hold an average of 343.2 yards per contest, which is good for 111th in college football. The UMass offense has totaled 333 yards of penalties on 37 violations, ranking them 28th in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 2 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 81 1st downs. For the season so far, the Minutemen currently sit at 831 passing yards along with an average of 166.2 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 122nd in college football. They are averaging 177.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 885 yards for this year.

UMass has given up a total of 491 yards on the ground (98.2 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have allowed 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 210.6 yards per outing, which puts them in 74th in D-1. This year, they have surrendered 89 total points. They have totaled 5 fumbles and 6 picks over the course of the season. The Minutemen defense has participated in 335 plays, ranking them 104th in college football. The Minutemen are allowing 17.8 PPG, ranking them 34th in the country.

Who will win tonight's RedHawks/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the RedHawks -2.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.