New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 11/6/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Friday, November 6, 2026

Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolf Pack (+9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 38

The New Mexico Lobos (7-1) are traveling to Mackay Stadium on Friday, November 6, 2026 where they will try to beat the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-5). New Mexico opens this matchup as 9.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 38.

The New Mexico Lobos come into this matchup with a record of 7-1 this season. In their last matchup, the Lobos played the San Jose State Spartans and went home with a win by a final score of 21-16. The New Mexico Lobos ran the ball 43 times and totaled 231 yds, earning them an average of 5.4 yds per carry. Overall, they tallied 58 plays which converted into 342 yds. New Mexico surrendered 16 completions on 23 tries for a total of 190 yds, and a completion percentage of 69.6%. Against the rush, the Lobos gave up 48 yards on 35 tries, which is an average of 1.4 yds per run surrendered.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 35.0 PPG. Offensively they average 213.1 yards via the ground game which is 14th in the nation. The Lobos have earned 2,889 total yards this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico has compiled 9 touchdowns through the air and 25 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico has accumulated 153 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 54 penalties for 444 yds. They have surrendered the ball 8 times.

When talking about passing yardage, the Lobos have given up 1,412 yards which puts them in 17th in Division 1. They have conceded 176.5 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 56.6%. For the season, they have surrendered 258.1 yards per game which puts them 4th in the nation. They have yielded 8 touchdowns through the air in addition to 2 touchdowns running the ball. The opposition is running for an average of 2.6 yards per rush on the ground and 81.6 yards on the ground per game this season. During the season, they have allowed 653 rushing yards through 8 contests. The Lobos rank 1st in Division 1 concerning team defense, allowing 11.9 PPG.

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The Wolf Pack come into this matchup with a record of 3-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Wolf Pack took a loss by a final score of 27-0 when they faced the UCLA Bruins. Nevada allowed 29 rushing attempts for 125 yds (4.3 yards per carry). The Wolf Pack passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 53.3%, surrendering 178 yards on 16 out of 30 through the air. The Wolf Pack finished the game with 176 yards and they ran 59 plays (3.0 yards per play). Nevada rushed the football for 1.9 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 65 yards on 35 carries.

Regarding how much they score, the Wolf Pack are ranked 103rd in Division 1 by tallying 23.0 points per outing. The Nevada Wolf Pack hold an average of 336.0 yards/outing, which is good for 113th in D-1. The Nevada offense has 429 yds of penalties on 49 violations, which has them ranked 86th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 12 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to tally 142 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Wolf Pack have a total of 1,352 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 169.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 126th in college football. They maintain an average of 167.0 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,336 yards for the season.

Nevada has allowed a total of 1,290 rushing yards (161.3 yards per game) and 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 156.9 yards/game, which has them in 8th in college football. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 181 points in total. Their defense has 2 fumbles recovered and 1 picks on the year. The Wolf Pack defense has taken the field for 531 plays, which is 72nd in Division 1. The Wolf Pack are conceding 22.6 points per contest, which puts them 56th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Wolf Pack college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lobos -9.5

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