New Mexico State Aggies vs FIU Panthers Prediction, 10/7/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs FIU Panthers

Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Location: Pitbull Stadium in Miami, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 46

The New Mexico State Aggies (2-3) are hitting the road to Pitbull Stadium on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 where they will take on the FIU Panthers (2-2). New Mexico State opens this contest as 6.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 46.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game with a record of 2-3 this season. In their last game, the Aggies faced the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and went home with a win by a final score of 34-13. In all, they ran 60 plays which gave them a total of 352 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ended up running the ball 34 times and amassed 206 yds, which earned them an average of 6.1 yards per carry. Against the run, the Aggies gave up 46 yds on 31 attempts, which averages out to 1.5 yds per run surrendered. New Mexico State relinquished 30 completions on 44 tries for a total of 315 yards, and a completion rate of 68.2%.

Regarding scoring, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 27.8 PPG. As a team they have an average of 150.0 yards in the run game which is 84th in the country. The Aggies have tallied 2,010 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico State has totaled 9 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico State has accounted for 100 first downs, and they have been flagged for 32 infractions for 260 yards. They have turned the football over 8 times.

The Aggies rank 98th in D-1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 26.4 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 130.6 rushing yards per contest on the season. Overall, they have given up 653 yards via the ground game in 5 games. Regarding passing yards, the Aggies have given up 1,214 yds which has them sitting in 111th in D-1. They have yielded 242.8 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 64.8%. Over the course of this season, they have surrendered 373.4 yards/game which ranks them 88th in the country. They have conceded 4 touchdowns by air and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Panthers come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 for this season. For their last game, the Panthers went home victorious with a score of 20-3 when they faced the LIU Sharks. FIU rushed the ball for 4.3 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 167 yards on 39 carries. The Panthers finished the game with a total of 394 yards and they ran 60 plays (6.6 yards per play). The Panthers pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 45.0%, surrendering 109 yds on 9 for 20 passing. FIU conceded 34 run attempts for 100 yds (2.9 yards per rush).

Regarding how much they score, the Panthers rank 126th in the country averaging 18.0 PPG. The FIU Panthers maintain an average of 418.0 yards per outing, which ranks them 52nd in the nation. The FIU offense has 214 yards of penalties on 27 violations, which is good for 97th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 6 picks while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 80 first downs. During the season thus far, the Panthers currently have a total of 1,176 yards via the pass as well as an average of 294.0 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 20th in D-1. They average 124.0 yards per game on the ground and have run for 496 yards for the year.

The Panthers are giving up 14.5 PPG, which has them sitting 18th in college football. FIU has given up a total of 320 yards on the ground (80.0 yards per contest) and 2 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have allowed the opposition 2 touchdowns through the air and 164.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 22nd in the country. The Panthers defense has participated in 244 plays, which ranks 10th in the nation. They have totaled 2 fumbles recovered and 2 picks for the year. Overall, they have given up 58 pts.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Panthers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +6.5

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