Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 10/10/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026

Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42.5

The Sacramento State Hornets (1-4) are en route to Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Saturday, October 10, 2026 where they will attempt to beat the Bowling Green Falcons (1-4). Bowling Green opens this matchup as 7.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 42.5.

The Sacramento State Hornets head into this matchup 1-4 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Hornets played the UMass Minutemen and took a loss by a score of 35-6. In the running game, the Hornets gave up 232 yds on 37 attempts, which calculates to 6.3 yards per rush surrendered. Sacramento State allowed 11 pass completions on 16 tries for 101 yds, and a completion rate of 68.8%. Overall, they tallied 77 plays which converted into 323 yards. The Sacramento State Hornets ran the rock 34 different times and totaled 102 yds, which came out to an average of 3.0 yds per carry.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Sacramento State Hornets have an average of 17.6 PPG. As a team they are averaging 111.2 yards in the run game which ranks them 124th in D-1. The Hornets have earned 1,637 yards in total over the course of this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Sacramento State has amassed 5 touchdowns through the air and 4 rushing touchdowns. Sacramento State has recorded 97 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 35 penalties for 325 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 different times.

The Hornets are ranked 109th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 28.6 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rush and 150.0 yards on the ground per game on the season. For the year, they have given up 750 yards on the ground through 5 outings. When it comes to passing yardage, the Hornets have given up 982 yds which puts them in 69th in college football. They have given up 196.4 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 68.0%. In total, they are giving up 346.4 yards per outing ranking them 65th in the nation. They have yielded 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 11 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 1-4 this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons got the win with a final of 24-20 when they faced the Miami RedHawks. Bowling Green gave up 35 attempts on the ground for 108 yards (3.1 yds per rush). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 70.8%, surrendering 198 yards on 17 out of 24 through the air. The Falcons finished the contest with 365 yards on 60 plays (6.1 yards per play). Bowling Green rushed for 2.6 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 60 yards on 23 carries.

Concerning their scoring prowess, the Falcons currently sit 138th in college football averaging 11.4 points per contest. The Bowling Green Falcons have an average of 258.6 yards/game, which has them sitting 137th in D-1. The Bowling Green offense has 286 yards of penalties on 33 infractions, which has them ranked 61st in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 2 interceptions while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to tally 76 first downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Falcons have earned 869 passing yards along with an average of 173.8 passing yards per contest, putting them at 121st in college football. They are averaging 84.8 rushing yards per game and have run for 424 yards for the season.

Bowling Green has surrendered a total of 1,157 yards on the ground (231.4 yards/game) in addition to 8 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have conceded 9 touchdowns via the pass and 176.0 yards/contest, ranking them 34th in Division 1. This year, they have surrendered 165 total points. Their defense has totaled 3 fumbles and 2 interceptions on the campaign. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 299 plays, which ranks 49th in the nation. The Falcons are relinquishing 33.0 points per contest, which puts them 125th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Hornets/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hornets +7.5

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