TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights Prediction, 9/26/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Acrisure Bounce House in Orlando, FL

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

Acrisure Bounce House is the location where the UCF Knights (2-1) will play the TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) on Saturday, September 26, 2026. TCU opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 49.

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 this season. In their last game, the Horned Frogs played the Arkansas State Red Wolves and earned the victory with a final of 31-7. Overall, they ran 68 plays which totaled 468 yds. The TCU Horned Frogs ended up running the ball 39 different times and had 131 yards, earning them an average of 3.4 yds per carry. In the running game, the Horned Frogs gave up 128 yds on 30 attempts, which averages out to 4.3 yards per run allowed. TCU relinquished 11 pass completions on 24 tries for 133 yds, and a completion rate of 45.8%.

Concerning scoring points, the TCU Horned Frogs have an average of 34.7 PPG. As a team they're averaging 174.0 yards in the run game which ranks them 56th in D-1. The Horned Frogs have tallied 1,425 total yards for the year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, TCU has compiled 7 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns. TCU has accounted for 72 first downs, and they have been called for 19 infractions for 185 yds. They have surrendered the ball 3 different times.

Concerning passing yards, the Horned Frogs have given up 555 yards which has them ranked 52nd in the country. They have yielded 185.0 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 53.3%. Overall, they are allowing 264.3 yards/contest putting them at 24th in the country. They have yielded 1 touchdown via the pass and 2 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 2.7 yards per running attempt and 79.3 rushing yards per game on the campaign. For the season, they have conceded 238 yards via the ground game in 3 contests. The Horned Frogs rank 9th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 9.7 PPG.

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The Knights step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Knights got the win with a final of 44-30 against the Georgia State Panthers. UCF allowed 35 run attempts for 203 yards (5.8 yards per carry). The Knights pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.2%, surrendering 282 yds on 30 out of 49 through the air. The Knights ended up finishing with 390 yards while they ran 57 plays (6.8 yds per play). UCF rushed for 7.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 304 yards on 40 carries.

The UCF Knights are averaging 385.3 yards/contest, which ranks them 82nd in college football. The UCF offense has compiled 153 yds of penalties on 22 infractions, which is good for 43rd in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They are averaging 228.0 run yards per game and have run for 684 yards for the season. They have given away 2 interceptions while surrendering no fumbles and they have been able to earn 52 1st downs. Concerning how much they score, the Knights currently sit 26th in college football holding an average of 41.3 points per game. During the season to this point, the Knights have earned 472 passing yards not to mention an average of 157.3 passing yards per contest, putting them at 120th in college football.

UCF has conceded a total of 413 rushing yards (137.7 yards/game) as well as 2 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have allowed 3 touchdowns through the air and 189.3 yards per game, which has them sitting 59th in the nation. In total, they have surrendered 48 total points. They have compiled 1 fumble recovered and 4 interceptions so far this season. The Knights defense has taken the field for 216 plays, which ranks 118th in college football. The Knights are giving up 16.0 PPG, which has them 32nd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Knights college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Knights +2.5

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