Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, 11/4/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets

Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Location: Hornet Stadium in Sacramento, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Hornets (+25.0)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Hornet Stadium is the location where the Sacramento State Hornets (2-7) will try to beat the Toledo Rockets (6-2) on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Toledo opens this game as 25-point favorites. The over/under is set at 52.5.

The Toledo Rockets come into this matchup with a record of 6-2 this season. In their last game, the Rockets stepped onto the field against the Western Michigan Broncos and went home with a win by a final score of 45-38. The Toledo Rockets ended up rushing 47 times and compiled 204 yds, which is an average of 4.3 yards per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 88 plays which totaled 595 yards. Toledo allowed 12 completions on 29 attempts for a total of 207 yds, and a completion percentage of 41.4%. When it came to stopping the run, the Rockets conceded 144 yards on 33 attempts, which averages out to 4.4 yards per run allowed.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Toledo Rockets are averaging 37.4 points per game. Offensively they maintain an average of 187.4 yards on the ground ranking this team at 35th in the nation. The Rockets have earned 3,804 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to scoring, Toledo has earned 18 touchdowns through the air and 19 rushing touchdowns. Toledo has tallied 180 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 68 penalties for 592 yards. They have surrendered the ball 10 times.

The Rockets are ranked 81st in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 25.4 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.5 yards per rush and 127.4 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have conceded 1,019 yards via the ground game in 8 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Rockets have allowed 1,586 yds which has them sitting in 43rd in Division 1. They have given up 198.3 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 54.1%. In total, they are conceding 325.6 yards/contest which puts them 38th in the country. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns by air as well as 9 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Hornets head into this matchup 2-7 for this season. In their last game, the Hornets got the victory with a final of 31-10 against the Kent State Golden Flashes. The Hornets finished with a total of 278 yds while running 67 plays (4.1 yds per play). Sacramento State rushed for 3.8 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 161 yds on 42 carries. Sacramento State relinquished 24 attempts on the ground for 93 yds (3.9 yds per rush). The Hornets pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 44.7%, relinquishing 209 yds on 17 out of 38 passing.

When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Hornets currently sit 133rd in D-1 by scoring 17.0 PPG. The Sacramento State Hornets average 295.9 yards per outing, which is good for 132nd in college football. The Sacramento State offense has totaled 697 yds of penalties on 71 violations, which has them ranked 7th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 7 interceptions while surrendering 8 fumbles and they have tallied 157 first downs. For the year thus far, the Hornets have thrown for a total of 1,695 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 188.3 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 111th in Division 1. They maintain an average of 107.6 yards per game via the rush and have run for 968 yards in total.

The Hornets are giving up 30.3 points per contest, which puts them 114th in Division 1. Sacramento State has conceded a total of 1,509 yards on the ground (167.7 yards per game) and 22 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 196.1 yards per outing, which has them ranked 41st in the country. The Hornets defense has been on the field for 550 plays, which ranks 96th in the country. Their defense has earned 5 fumbles recovered and 5 picks over the course of the season. In total, they have allowed 273 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Hornets college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rockets -25.0

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