Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, 9/19/2026 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: Memorial Stadium in Columbia, MO

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-27.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Troy Trojans (2-0) are en route to Memorial Stadium on Saturday, September 19, 2026 where they will try to beat the Missouri Tigers (2-0). Troy opens this contest as 27.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 49.5.

The Troy Trojans come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 this season. In their last matchup, the Trojans took on the Alabama State Hornets and walked away with a win by a score of 34-17. When all was said and done, they ran 68 plays which gave them 427 yards. The Troy Trojans ran the rock 39 times and tallied 226 yds, earning them an average of 5.8 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Trojans gave up 116 yards on 34 tries, which is 3.4 yards per run allowed. Troy relinquished 13 pass completions on 24 attempts for 105 yds, and a completion rate of 54.2%.

The Trojans have racked up 769 total yards this season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Troy has earned 4 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns on the ground. They have yet to turn the ball over. Troy has accrued 37 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 18 penalties for 175 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 201.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 41st in college football. When talking about putting points on the board, the Troy Trojans are sitting at 29.0 points per game.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Trojans have given up 440 yds which puts them in 88th in D-1. They have allowed 220.0 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.4%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 297.0 yards/game ranking them 53rd in Division 1. They have relinquished 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 1 touchdown via the ground game. The opposition is running for an average of 2.7 yards per run and 77.0 yards on the ground per contest so far this year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 154 yards on the ground through 2 contests. The Trojans sit in 65th in the nation regarding team defense, conceding 19.0 points per contest.

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The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Tigers walked away with a victory by a final of 38-21 when they played the Kansas Jayhawks. The Tigers finished with 469 yards on 71 plays (6.6 yards per play). Missouri ran for 4.3 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 177 yds on 41 attempts. Missouri conceded 36 rush attempts for 81 yards (2.3 yards per carry). The Tigers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 45.2%, surrendering 174 yds on 14 out of 31 through the air.

The Missouri Tigers average 515.5 yards per contest, which has them sitting 21st in the country. The Missouri offense has accrued 111 yards of penalties on 15 infractions, which has them sitting 45th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They average 191.0 run yards per game and have run for 382 yards in total. They have tossed no interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have earned 54 1st downs. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Tigers currently rank 25th in Division 1 averaging 46.0 points per game. For the year so far, the Tigers have racked up 649 yards through the air together with an average of 324.5 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 17th in college football.

The Tigers are relinquishing 17.5 PPG, which has them sitting 58th in the country. Missouri has conceded a total of 170 yards on the ground (85.0 yards per game) as well as 1 touchdown on the ground for the year. They have conceded 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 141.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 26th in the country. The Tigers defense has been on the field for 120 plays, which is 46th in the nation. Their defense has compiled 1 fumble recovery and 2 interceptions so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Trojans +27.5

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