Golden State Warriors at Miami Heat Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 2/27/2019

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Golden State Warriors travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Wednesday, February 27, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Golden State as 11 point favorites.

The Warriors have a record of 43-17. They are 1st in the Pacific Division. They have a point differential of 6.9 as they average 118.8 points per game while giving up 112.0 per contest. The Heat have an overall mark of 26-33. They currently are 3rd in the Southeast Division. They total 105.1 points per contest and give up 106.2, which is a point differential of -1.1.

Valuable Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 25-34-1 against the spread

The Golden State Warriors are 32-28-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 29-29-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 30-28-0 against the over/under

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/02/18 C Damian Jones Shoulder is out indefinitely
02/25/19 F Jordan Bell Illness is questionable Wednesday vs Miami

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/25/19 F James Johnson Shoulder is questionable Wednesday vs Golden State
02/25/19 SF Justise Winslow Knee is questionable Wednesday vs Golden State
02/25/19 G Rodney McGruder Knee is questionable Wednesday vs Golden State

Player Spotlight

Stephen Curry comes into this contest averaging 28.4 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 49% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 92%. Kevin Durant averages 27.5 points per game in 35.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.8 assists per contest and 7.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 52% for the year while his free throw percentage is 89%.

Player Spotlight

Hassan Whiteside averages 12.9 points per game while playing 25.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 12.3 rebounds per game and has 0.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is at 43%. Josh Richardson averages 17.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.6 rebounds per contest and 4.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State averages 118.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.9 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 46.5 rebounds per game and 29.6 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 14.0 per game. The Warriors allow 112.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 19th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 5th and 10th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.8 rebounds a game which ranks 7th and they give up 24.3 assists per contest, which puts them in 13th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 27th in the league with 105.1 points per game this year. They are 26th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -1.1. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They are 9th in the league in rebounding with 46.3 boards per game, and 19th in assists per contest with 23.9. The Heat are 7th in turnovers per game with 15.2. The Heat surrender 106.2 points per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 22.9 assists allowed per contest and 8th with 43.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 15th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 110, and their offensive rating of 116.8 is ranked 15th. They are 10th in the NBA in pace with 101.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the NBA. Golden State is 19th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 27th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 26th in the NBA. The Heat are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 107.8, and their offensive rating of 106.7 is ranked 8th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 23rd. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami +11

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