Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread 2/11/2019

Monday, February 11, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat travel to Pepsi Center to play the Denver Nuggets on Monday, February 11, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 10 point favorites.

The Heat head into this matchup with a mark of 25-28. They are 2nd in the Southeast Division. They have a point differential of -0.5 as they average 105.0 points per contest while giving up 105.5 per game. The Nuggets have an overall mark of 37-18. They currently are 1st in the Northwest Division. They total 112.0 points per contest and give up 107.3, which is a point differential of 4.7.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 26-26-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 26-26-0 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 29-26-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 28-27-0 against the over/under

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/19/18 PG Goran Dragic Knee is out indefinitely
02/10/19 G Dwyane Wade Back is questionable Sunday vs Golden State
01/28/19 SF Derrick Jones Jr. Knee is out indefinitely

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

10/11/18 G Isaiah Thomas Hip is out indefinitely
02/09/19 G Gary Harris Groin is questionable Monday vs Miami
02/09/19 F Paul Millsap Ankle is questionable Monday vs Miami

Player Spotlight

Josh Richardson comes into this contest averaging 17.4 points per game while playing 34.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.7 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 87%. Hassan Whiteside averages 13.1 points per game in 25.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 0.9 assists per contest and 12.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 55% for the year while his free throw percentage is 44%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic averages 20.4 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 10.5 rebounds per game and has 7.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 85%. Jamal Murray averages 18.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.3 rebounds per contest and 5.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 105.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 26th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -0.5 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 27th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 16th in the league. They average 46.6 rebounds per game and 23.6 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 19th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 8th with 15.2 per game. The Heat allow 105.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 3rd in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 23rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.1 rebounds a game which ranks 11th and they give up 22.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 13.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 15th in the league with 112.0 points per game this year. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.8. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 11th in the NBA. They are 9th in the league in rebounding with 46.2 boards per game, and 2nd in assists per contest with 27.6. The Nuggets are 26th in turnovers per game with 13.4. The Nuggets surrender 107.3 points per contest, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 16th and 12th in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.7 assists allowed per contest and 1st with 41.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets were 11th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game last season.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 23rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.7, and their defensive rating of 107.2 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 25th in the league with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 24th. As a team they are 27th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league. Miami is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 29th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 26th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 13th in the league. The Nuggets are 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.7, and their defensive rating of 109.8 is ranked 15th. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 97.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 8th. As a team they are 13th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami +10

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