Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 2/28/2019

Thursday, February 28, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Utah Jazz travel to Pepsi Center to play the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, February 28, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Denver as 7 point favorites.

The Jazz head into this matchup with a mark of 33-26. They are 4th in the Northwest Division. They have a point differential of 3.4 as they average 110.1 points per contest while giving up 106.7 per game. The Nuggets have an overall mark of 42-18. They currently are 1st in the Northwest Division. They total 112.4 points per contest and give up 106.9, which is a point differential of 5.4.

Valuable Utah Jazz Betting Trends

The Utah Jazz are 31-26-2 against the spread

The Utah Jazz are 31-28-0 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 32-27-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 29-30-0 against the over/under

Key Utah Jazz Injuries

01/07/19 PG Dante Exum Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

02/24/19 F Trey Lyles Hamstring is questionable Tuesday vs Oklahoma City

Player Spotlight

Rudy Gobert comes into this contest averaging 15.4 points per game while playing 31.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 12.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 65% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 66%. Donovan Mitchell averages 22.8 points per game in 33.5 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.0 assists per contest and 4.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic averages 20.7 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 10.7 rebounds per game and has 7.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Jamal Murray averages 18.1 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.3 rebounds per contest and 5.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Utah averages 110.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 3.4 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 15th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 21st in the league. They average 45.7 rebounds per game and 25.2 assists per game, which ranks them 11th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 5th with 15.3 per game. The Jazz allow 106.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 12th and 20th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.6 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 21.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 1st place in the league. They force 14.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 19th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 13th in the league with 112.4 points per game this year. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.4. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 10th in the NBA. They are 7th in the league in rebounding with 46.8 boards per game, and 2nd in assists per contest with 27.7. The Nuggets are 25th in turnovers per game with 13.7. The Nuggets surrender 106.9 points per contest, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 18th with 24.7 assists allowed per contest and 1st with 41.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 14th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.8 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Jazz are 18th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.5, and their defensive rating of 106.1 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 14th in the league with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 12th. As a team they are 12th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 6th in the league. Utah is 4th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 24th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 14th in the league. The Nuggets are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.3, and their defensive rating of 108.8 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 28th in the league with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 10th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Jazz/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver -7

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn