Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions, NBA Picks, Betting Tips 8/6/2020

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Thursday, August 6, 2020

Location: The Arena in Orlando, Florida

TV: TNT

Eric Bledsoe and the Milwaukee Bucks (54-14, 1st in the Central Division) host the Miami Heat (42-25, 1st in the Southeast Division) at The Arena on Thursday. 

The Heat are covering 53.0% of the time, having gone 35-31-2 ATS. Milwaukee is covering 54.4% of the time, going 37-31-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

08/05/20 SG Jimmy Butler Ankle is questionable Thursday vs Milwaukee
08/05/20 PG Goran Dragic Ankle left last game, is questionable Thursday vs Milwaukee

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

08/04/20 SG Wesley Matthews Calf is questionable Thursday vs Miami
08/04/20 C Brook Lopez Back is questionable Thursday vs Miami

Player Spotlight

Kendrick Nunn comes into this game averaging 15.2 points per contest while playing 29.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage is 84%. Duncan Robinson averages 13.3 points per contest in 29.9 minutes per game. He averages 1.4 assists per game and 3.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 47% for the season while his free throw percentage is 92%.

Player Spotlight

Eric Bledsoe scores 15.3 points per contest while playing 27.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.6 rebounds per contest and has 5.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 29.6 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 30.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 13.7 rebounds per game and has 5.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 55% and his free throw percentage is 63%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.2 points per contest, which is 15th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 6th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They average 44.4 boards per contest and 26.0 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 14th with 14.9 per game. The Heat allow 108.8 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 7th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.1 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they allow 24.5 assists per game which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 13.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee is 1st in the NBA with 118.6 points per contest this season. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 10.79. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 18th in the league. They are 1st in the NBA in rebounding with 51.9 boards per contest and 7th in assists per game with 25.9. The Bucks are 11th in turnovers per contest with 15.1. The Bucks give up 107.8 points per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 1st and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 23.8 dimes allowed per game and 21st with 45.5 boards surrendered per contest. The Bucks are 12th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 109.4, and their offensive rating of 112.8 is ranked 12th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shot attempts, ranking 7th in the NBA. Miami is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 19th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Milwaukee is 16th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 102.3, and their offensive rating of 112.5 is ranked 1st. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 105.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 1st. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Bucks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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