Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/4/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: FTX Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Atlanta Hawks are en route to FTX Arena on Saturday where they will go up against the Miami Heat.

The Hawks stepped onto the hardwood against the Wizards and took a loss by a score of 119-116 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Hawks walked away with 17 and the Wizards accumulated 15 personal fouls. They also converted 6 out of their 21 attempts from long range. Washington finished the game at 85.0% at the free throw line by converting 17 of 20 tries. Moreover, Washington snagged 48 boards (16 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 7 rejections. Washington dished out 19 dimes and had 6 steals in the game. Concerning defending, Atlanta allowed the other team to shoot 49.5% from the floor on 48 out of 97 shooting. They also distributed 21 dimes for this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they collected 42 with 13 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Hawks made 17 of 19 attempts for a rate of 89.5%. Atlanta wrapped up the contest with a 46.2% field goal percentage (43 out of 93) and buried 13 out of their 35 shots from beyond the arc.

Trae Young is a player who played a role for this game. He ended up walking away with 31 points on 11 of 26 shooting. He played for 34 minutes and also pulled down 2 boards. Young finished shooting 42.3% from the field and also distributed 7 assists.

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Atlanta enters this contest with a mark of 31-31 on the year. They turn it over 12.7 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 19.0 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Atlanta is pulling in 43.9 rebounds per game and has totaled 1,524 dimes this year, which ranks 21st in basketball in terms of passing. The Hawks are connecting on 35.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (666 of 1,887) and 81.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 116.9 pts per game (8th in basketball) while going 47.9% from the field.

On defense, the Hawks have forced 14.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.8 personal fouls. They are 11th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,572 relinquished for the campaign. The Hawks defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.8% (2,668 of 5,583) and they surrender 45.3 boards per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 34.9% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 22nd in the league in opponents points per game (117.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Heat walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 119-96 against the 76ers. Concerning rebounding, Miami permitted Philadelphia to snag 41 overall (9 offensive). They finished 38.5% from beyond the arc by connecting on 15 of 39 and ended up going 22 of 22 from the free throw line (100.0%). The Heat permitted the 76ers to make 41 out of their 83 tries from the field which left them shooting 49.4% for the contest. When the final whistle blew, the Heat ended up going 34 for 78 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.6%. Pertaining to 3-pointers, Miami buried 7 out of their 29 attempts (24.1%). They were able to make 21 of those for a percentage of 91.3%. The 76ers committed 20 personal fouls for this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 23 shots. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while recording 3 steals for this game. The Heat were able to corral 28 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 33 in this contest.

Bam Adebayo ended up being a factor for the Heat in the game. Adebayo scored 20 points in his 30 minutes of playing time and had 2 assists in the game. He made 8 out of 13 in the game for a field goal rate of 61.5%, and had 8 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 33-30 on the season. As an offense, the Heat are shooting 45.0% from the field, which is ranked 29th in basketball. Miami has accumulated 6,791 points on the season (107.8 per contest) and they collect 41.2 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 23.3 times per game (23rd in basketball) and they are giving up possession 13.3 times per contest. The Heat commit 18.9 personal fouls every game and they hit 82.6% from the free throw line.

The Heat on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 108.6. They are forcing 16.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.6% from the field (19th in the league). The Miami defense surrenders 36.8% on three-point shots (827 of 2,250) and opponents are connecting on 77.9% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 25.0 assists and 42.4 boards per contest, which has them ranked 13th and 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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