Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 12/29/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Monday, December 29, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Paycom Center is the location where the Oklahoma City Thunder (26-5) will try to defeat the Atlanta Hawks (15-16) on Monday.

The Hawks faced off with the Bulls and took a loss by a final of 126-123 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Hawks ended up finishing with 20 and the Bulls had 16 personal fouls. They converted 13 of 39 attempts from 3-point land. Chicago finished the game shooting 75.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 21 of their 28 shots. Additionally, Chicago pulled down 48 boards (9 offensive, 39 defensive) and added 7 rejections. Chicago doled out 35 dimes and had 3 steals in the matchup. In regard to defense, Atlanta allowed the other team to go 50.5% from the field on 46 out of 91 shooting. They also distributed 22 assists for this contest in addition to forcing 5 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In regard to hauling in rebounds, they collected a total of 38 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Hawks converted 13 of their 20 attempts for a rate of 65.0%. Atlanta wrapped up the contest having earned a 50.5% field goal percentage (48 of 95) and made 14 out of their 42 three-point shots.

Jalen Johnson is someone who was a factor in the game. He ended up scoring 24 points on 11 out of 23 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 mins played and also totaled 9 rebounds. Johnson ended up going 47.8% from the floor and also dished out 10 dimes.

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Atlanta heads into this one with a win-loss record of 15-16 this year. They are losing possession via turnover 15.2 times per contest and as a unit are committing 20.6 fouls every game. As a team, Atlanta is pulling down 41.6 rebounds per game and has accumulated 965 assists so far this year, which ranks 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Hawks are shooting 36.9% on three-point attempts (435 of 1,180) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. They average 118.8 points per contest (12th in basketball) while going 48.3% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Hawks are able to force 16.2 turnovers per game and they draw 19.2 personal fouls. They give up 36.2% on shots from downtown while they are 24th in the league in PPG from their opponents (119.6). The Hawks defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.9% (1,336 of 2,792) and they relinquish 45.5 boards per game as a group. They are 27th in basketball in allowing assists with 865 conceded for the season.

The last time they took the court, the Thunder took a loss by a final score of 117-102 against the Spurs. In regard to how they rebounded, Oklahoma City permitted San Antonio to pull down 49 in all (10 on the offensive side). They shot 37.9% from 3-point land by connecting on 11 out of 29 and walked away from this one shooting 16 out of 21 from the free throw line (76.2%). The Thunder permitted the Spurs to knock down 45 of their 84 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 53.6% for this contest. At the conclusion of this game, the Thunder went 37 out of 95 from the floor which had them shooting 38.9%. In relation to 3-point attempts, Oklahoma City buried 11 out of 44 tries (25.0%). They were able to convert 17 of those for a clip of 68.0%. The Spurs committed 22 fouls for this game which got the Thunder to the charity stripe for 25 attempts. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The Thunder corralled 32 defensive boards and 16 offensive rebounds totaling 48 in this matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up having an impact for the Thunder in this contest. He buried 7 of 19 in this contest for a field goal rate of 36.8%, and had 6 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander earned 22 points in his 36 mins on the court and accumulated 4 dimes in this matchup.

Oklahoma City has a win-loss mark of 26-5 this season. The Thunder commit 20.9 fouls per game and they connect on 83.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.8 times per game (17th in the league) and they turn the ball over 12.5 times per contest. Oklahoma City has accumulated 3,760 points on the season (121.3 per contest) and they collect 44.7 boards per game. As an offense, the Thunder are shooting 49.0% from the field, which is 3rd in the league.

The Thunder on defense are ranked 1st in the league in points given up per game with 107.4. They are forcing their opponents into 17.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.4% from the field (1st in basketball). The Oklahoma City defense concedes 36.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (437 of 1,185) and their opponents are knocking down 75.8% of their foul shots. They have conceded 24.0 dimes and 44.0 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 2nd and 14th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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