Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 12/11/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-9.5)

The Denver Nuggets (17-6) are hitting the road to Golden 1 Center on Thursday where they will take on the Sacramento Kings (6-18). Sacramento is 9.5-point underdogs. The total comes in at 239.

The Nuggets took the court against the Hornets and walked away with a win by a score of 115-106 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Nuggets ended up walking away with 19 while the Hornets recorded 22 fouls. They made 14 out of their 46 shots from distance. Charlotte walked away from this one shooting 76.2% at the charity stripe by making 16 of 21 tries. In addition, Charlotte collected 47 rebounds (10 offensive, 37 defensive) and had 2 blocked shots. Charlotte doled out 24 dimes and had 7 steals for this game. In regard to defending, Denver allowed 44.7% from the field on 38 of 85 shooting. They also distributed 29 assists for this contest while forcing 14 turnovers and having 8 steals. Concerning rebounding, they collected 35 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Nuggets converted 16 of their 22 shots for a percentage of 72.7%. Denver wrapped up the game with a 51.8% FG percentage (43 out of 83) and converted 13 of their 35 shots from distance.

Jamal Murray is one guy who was a major factor for the contest. He ended up with 34 points on 14 out of 25 shooting. He was on the court for 35 mins and pulled down 3 rebounds. Murray walked away from this one shooting 56.0% from the floor and also recorded 5 assists.

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Denver will enter this contest with a mark of 17-6 this season. They average 125.0 pts per contest (1st in the league) while going 51.3% from the floor. The Nuggets are shooting 39.7% on shots beyond the perimeter (313 of 788) and 82.7% from the free throw line. As a team, Denver is pulling down 44.8 boards per contest and has accounted for 677 assists on the season, which has them ranked 7th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 13.5 times per game and as a unit they are committing 19.3 fouls per game.

On defense, the Nuggets are forcing 12.2 turnovers every game while drawing 22.2 personal fouls. They rank 10th in the league in giving up assists with 615 conceded on the campaign. The Nuggets defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 46.5% (970 of 2,084) and they surrender 40.6 boards per game as a unit. They concede 34.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 17th in the league in PPG allowed (116.3).

For their last game, the Kings went home defeated by a final of 116-105 when they played the Pacers. In reference to how they rebounded, Sacramento allowed Indiana to pull down 41 in total (10 on the offensive side). They went 40.0% from three-point range by connecting on 14 of 35 and ended up shooting 26 out of 28 at the free throw line (92.9%). The Kings permitted the Pacers to make 38 of 87 attempts from the floor which had them at 43.7% for this game. When the final whistle blew, the Kings went 41 out of 88 from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.6%. With regard to shooting from downtown, Sacramento knocked down 7 of their 22 tries (31.8%). They were able to make 16 of them for a percentage of 69.6%. The Pacers committed 15 fouls in this contest which took the Kings to the free throw line for a total of 23 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 19 times, while recording 6 steals for this contest. The Kings recorded 36 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive rebounds for a total of 51 in this game.

Russell Westbrook ended up being a factor for the Kings in the game. He made 10 of 16 for this game for a rate of 62.5%, and tallied 12 rebounds. Westbrook tallied 24 points in his 40 mins of playing time and had 14 dimes for this game.

Sacramento has a mark of 6-18 on the season. On the offensive side of the court, the Kings are shooting 46.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 18th in the NBA. Sacramento has totaled 2,674 points this season (111.4 per contest) and they pull in 40.0 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 25.8 times per contest (16th in the NBA) and they lose possession via turnover 14.0 times per game. The Kings are committing 20.3 personal fouls per game and they connect on 75.2% from the charity stripe.

The Sacramento defense allows 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc (308 of 877) and their opposition makes 79.6% of their free throw shots. They surrender 28.4 assists and 46.8 boards per contest, which has them ranked 25th and 26th in the NBA. The Kings on defense are ranked 26th in basketball in points allowed per game with 122.0. They are forcing 15.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 49.7% from the field (29th in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Sacramento (+9.5)

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