Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 6/5/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+10.0)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) will play the Indiana Pacers (50-32) at Paycom Center on Thursday in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. Oklahoma City opens this game as 10-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 232.

The Pacers stepped onto the hardwood against the Knicks and notched a win by a score of 125-108, which punched their ticket to the NBA Finals. When it comes to personal fouls, the Pacers ended up with 23 while the Knicks recorded 16 personal fouls. They also buried 9 out of their 32 shots from long range. New York shot 65.4% when shooting free throws by converting 17 of their 26 attempts. On top of that, New York grabbed 41 boards (13 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 9 blocks. New York recorded 23 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. In relation to the defense, Indiana allowed their opponent to shoot 47.7% from the floor on 41 of 86 shooting. They also doled out 30 assists for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When it comes to grabbing boards, they earned 36 with 6 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Pacers converted 16 of 19 attempts for a rate of 84.2%. Indiana ended having earned a 54.1% FG percentage (46 of 85) and made 17 out of their 33 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Pascal Siakam is a guy who was a major factor for this game. Siakam finished 55.6% from the floor and earned 3 dimes. He played 36 minutes and grabbed 5 boards. He recorded 31 points on 10 of 18 shooting.

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Indiana will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 50-32 on the year. They average 117.4 pts per contest (7th in basketball) while shooting 48.8% from the field. The Pacers are shooting 36.8% on shots from beyond the arc (1,081 of 2,934) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Indiana is pulling down 41.8 boards per contest and is sitting with 2,398 dimes this year, which is 3rd in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 13.2 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.7 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Pacers are able to force 15.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.8 fouls. They are giving up 35.5% on shots from distance and they are 17th in basketball in points per game allowed (115.1). The Pacers are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.4% (3,493 of 7,372) and they concede 45.0 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 12th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,131 relinquished this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Thunder got the win with a final of 124-94 when they faced the Timberwolves and won the series in 5 games. The Thunder snagged 39 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 46 for the game. They coughed it up 16 times, while earning 14 steals in this matchup. The Timberwolves were called for 20 fouls for this game which got the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 21 tries. They were able to knock down 18 of the free throw tries for a rate of 85.7%. When discussing shooting from 3-point land, Oklahoma City made 14 of their 35 attempts (40.0%). In all, the Thunder finished the game shooting 46 for 88 from the floor which gave them a rate of 52.3%. The Thunder allowed the Timberwolves to convert 35 out of their 85 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 41.2% in the matchup. They finished 35.3% from downtown by shooting 12 out of 34 and ended up shooting 12 of 15 at the free throw line (80.0%). In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Oklahoma City permitted Minnesota to collect 39 overall (8 on the offensive side).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up being a factor for the Thunder for the contest. Gilgeous-Alexander earned 34 points in his 34 mins on the hardwood and totaled 8 assists for this game. He made 14 of 25 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 56.0%, and accumulated 7 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a mark of 68-14 for the season. As an offensive unit, the Thunder are connecting on 48.2% from the field, which ranks them 7th in the league. Oklahoma City has totaled 9,881 pts for the season (120.5 per game) and they collect 44.8 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 26.9 times per contest (12th in the NBA) and they turn it over 11.7 times per contest. The Thunder are responsible for committing 19.9 personal fouls every game and they connect on 81.9% from the free throw line.

The Oklahoma City defense gives up 34.2% on shots from beyond the arc (1,104 of 3,225) and opponents are making 77.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 24.6 assists and 44.9 boards per game, which ranks 4th and 20th in the league. The Thunder on defense are ranked 3rd in the league in PPG surrendered with 107.6. They are forcing their opponents into 17.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.6% from the floor (1st in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Indiana (+10.0)

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