Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Prediction, 12/18/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-6.5)

Barclays Center is where the Brooklyn Nets (7-18) will meet the Miami Heat (14-12) on Thursday. Brooklyn opens this game as 6.5-point underdogs. The total has been set at 228.

The Heat faced the Raptors and took a loss by a final of 106-96 in their last game. Miami walked away from the contest having earned a 42.2% field goal percentage (35 of 83) and made 9 of their 31 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Heat converted 17 of 23 attempts for a rate of 73.9%. When talking about grabbing boards, they collected 45 with 11 of them being offensive. They also distributed 20 dimes for this game in addition to forcing the other team into 21 turnovers and getting 12 steals. In reference to the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 47.7% from the floor on 42 out of 88 shooting. Toronto totaled 33 dimes and had 9 steals for the game. Moreover, Toronto grabbed 45 rebounds (11 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 7 rejections. Toronto walked away from this one shooting 66.7% at the free throw line by burying 6 of 9 attempts. They knocked down 16 of 40 shots from beyond the arc. Concerning fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 14 and the Raptors recorded 20 fouls.

Bam Adebayo is someone who was a contributor for the game. Adebayo shot 53.8% from the floor and also distributed 2 dimes. He played 33 mins and also snagged 10 rebounds. He ended up walking away with 20 points on 7 of 13 shooting.

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Miami enters this matchup with a mark of 14-12 for the year. They turn it over 14.2 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.6 fouls per contest. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 45.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 756 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are hitting 36.7% on three-point shots (331 of 903) and 78.4% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 120.7 points per game (5th in the NBA) while going 47.6% from the field.

Defensively, the Heat are able to force 15.8 turnovers per game while drawing 20.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 20th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 707 surrendered this year. The Heat defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 44.7% (1,112 of 2,486) and they surrender 48.4 boards per game as a group. They are surrendering 33.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 22nd in the league in opponents PPG (117.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the Nets walked away with a victory by a final of 127-82 against the Bucks. With respect to how they attacked the glass, Brooklyn allowed Milwaukee to get 37 in total (7 offensive). They went 22.9% from three-point range by connecting on 8 out of 35 and ended up shooting 12 of 16 from the free throw line (75.0%). The Nets permitted the Bucks to make 31 of 79 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.2% in this game. When the final whistle blew, the Nets finished 45 out of 85 from the field which gave them a rate of 52.9%. In reference to shooting from 3-point land, Brooklyn buried 19 of their 43 tries (44.2%). They were able to make 18 of them for a percentage of 94.7%. The Bucks earned 18 personal fouls in this contest which took the Nets to the charity stripe for a total of 19 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while recording 14 steals in the matchup. The Nets were able to snag 37 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 43 in this game.

Egor Demin ended up being a factor for the Nets for this contest. Demin tallied 17 points in his 26 minutes of playing time and had 3 assists in this matchup. He made 6 of 8 for the game for a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and had 3 rebounds.

Brooklyn has a record of 7-18 so far this season. As an offense, the Nets are connecting on 44.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 28th in the NBA. Brooklyn has accounted for 2,755 points so far this year (110.2 per contest) and they collect 40.0 boards per game. They are earning an assist 25.7 times per contest (17th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 15.8 times per contest. The Nets are responsible for committing 20.4 personal fouls every game and they connect on 78.6% from the charity stripe.

The Brooklyn defense surrenders 37.9% on 3-point shots (321 of 846) and opponents are making 78.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 28.4 assists and 43.0 rebounds every game, which is 25th and 13th in basketball. The Nets on the defensive end are ranked 14th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 115.9. They are able to force 14.3 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 49.1% from the floor (28th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-6.5)

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