Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 5/28/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+9.0)

Paycom Center is where the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) will compete against the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) on Wednesday in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. OKC leads the series 3-1. Minnesota opens this game as 9-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 221.

The Timberwolves took a loss by a score of 128-126 in Game 4. Minnesota finished the contest having earned a 51.2% field goal percentage (43 of 84) and knocked down 18 out of their 41 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Timberwolves knocked down 22 of 28 shots for a rate of 78.6%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they collected 41 with 19 of them being offensive. They also distributed 30 assists for this game in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and getting 8 steals. When it comes to defending, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 50.5% from the field on 48 out of 95 shooting. Oklahoma City totaled 22 dimes and had 14 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Oklahoma City had 36 boards (19 offensive, 17 defensive) and earned 3 rejections. Oklahoma City finished shooting 76.2% at the free throw line by making 16 of their 21 tries. They made 16 of 37 attempts from downtown. In reference to personal fouls, the Timberwolves ended up walking away with 20 and the Thunder recorded 22 personal fouls.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is a guy who played a role in the game. He ended up walking away with 23 points on 9 of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 29 minutes and grabbed 4 rebounds. Alexander finished the contest at 60.0% from the floor and distributed 6 dimes.

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Minnesota will take the court with a record of 49-33 on the campaign. They average 114.3 points per game (13th in the NBA) while hitting 46.8% from the floor. The Timberwolves are shooting 37.7% from downtown (1,233 of 3,269) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Minnesota is grabbing 44.3 boards per contest and is sitting with 2,142 assists for the campaign, which is 17th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They cough up possession 14.5 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.3 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Timberwolves are able to force 14.7 turnovers per game while drawing 19.2 personal fouls. They are 5th in the league in giving up assists with 2,032 surrendered on the year. The Timberwolves defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 46.0% (3,319 of 7,213) and they concede 42.9 boards per game as a group. They are giving up 35.3% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 5th in the NBA in points per game allowed (109.3).

Game 4, the Thunder were able to collect 17 defensive rebounds and 19 offensive boards totaling 36 for the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while recording 14 steals in the game. The Timberwolves committed 20 fouls for the matchup which got the Thunder to the free throw line for 21 shots. They were able to knock down 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 76.2%. When discussing shooting from distance, Oklahoma City buried 16 of 37 tries (43.2%). Overall, the Thunder shot 48 out of 95 from the field which had them sitting at 50.5%. The Thunder permitted the Timberwolves to bury 43 of their 84 tries from the field which had them shooting 51.2% for the game. They wrapped up this game 43.9% from three-point range by connecting on 18 of 41 and finished the game at 22 out of 28 from the charity stripe (78.6%). In the matter of how they rebounded, Oklahoma City allowed Minnesota to collect 41 in total (19 on the offensive glass).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up being a factor for the Thunder for the matchup. He buried 13 of 30 for this game for a rate of 43.3%, and tallied 9 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander accumulated 40 points in his 40 mins on the court and had 10 dimes in this matchup.

Oklahoma City has a win-loss record of 68-14 for the season. The Thunder commit 19.9 fouls per contest and they go 81.9% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 26.9 times per contest (12th in basketball) and they are turning it over 11.7 times per game. Oklahoma City has scored 9,881 points so far this season (120.5 per game) and they pull in 44.8 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Thunder are hitting on 48.2% from the field, which ranks 7th in basketball.

The Thunder on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 107.6. They are able to force 17.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 43.6% from the floor (1st in the NBA). The Oklahoma City defense surrenders 34.2% on 3-point shots (1,104 of 3,225) and their opposition makes 77.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 24.6 dimes and 44.9 boards per game, which ranks 4th and 20th in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-9.0)

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