Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 10/25/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: NBA TV

The Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0) are traveling to State Farm Arena on Saturday where they will compete against the Atlanta Hawks (0-1).

The Thunder faced off with the Pacers and took home the win by a score of 141-135 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Thunder ended up finishing with 33 and the Pacers totaled 37 fouls. They buried 13 out of their 43 attempts from distance. Indiana finished 75.0% at the charity stripe by converting 30 of their 40 shots. On top of that, Indiana snagged 55 rebounds (11 offensive, 44 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Indiana earned 21 dimes and had 6 steals in this game. Concerning defense, Oklahoma City allowed 43.8% from the floor on 46 of 105 shooting. They also distributed 17 dimes in this game while creating 14 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When talking about grabbing boards, they earned a total of 60 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Thunder buried 45 of 51 tries for a percentage of 88.2%. Oklahoma City wrapped up the game having earned a 45.3% field goal percentage (43 of 95) and buried 10 out of their 35 3-pointers.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a player who was a major contributor in this game. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up shooting 48.4% from the floor and also dished out 5 assists. He played 45 minutes and also collected 8 rebounds. He accumulated 55 points on 15 of 31 shooting.

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Oklahoma City will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 2-0 for the campaign. They are giving up possession 13.0 times per contest and as a unit are committing 30.0 personal fouls every game. As a team, Oklahoma City is pulling in 49.0 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 46 dimes for the campaign, which is 2nd in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Thunder are shooting 26.4% on shots from beyond the arc (23 of 87) and 85.5% from the charity stripe. They average 133.0 pts per contest (4th in basketball) while hitting 44.7% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Thunder are forcing their opponents into 19.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 31.5 fouls. They relinquish 29.3% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 25th in basketball in points per game allowed (129.5). The Thunder are allowing a field goal percentage of 44.1% (89 of 202) and they surrender 53.5 boards per game as a unit. They currently rank 29th in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 44 conceded this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Hawks went home defeated by a final of 138-118 against the Raptors. When discussing how they rebounded, Atlanta allowed Toronto to grab 54 overall (12 on the offensive side). They shot 24.0% from three-point range by shooting 6 of 25 and ended up going 24 of 29 from the free throw line (82.8%). The Hawks permitted the Raptors to convert 54 of their 95 attempts from the field which left them shooting 56.8% for this contest. When all was said and done, the Hawks shot 38 out of 90 from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.2%. In regard to three-point shots, Atlanta buried 10 of 35 attempts (28.6%). They were able to knock down 32 of those for a clip of 86.5%. The Raptors were called for 31 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Hawks to the charity stripe for a total of 37 attempts. They coughed it up 16 times, while getting 7 steals for this contest. The Hawks pulled down 26 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 34 for this game.

Jalen Johnson ended up being a major contributor for the Hawks for this contest. He knocked down 7 of 13 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 53.8%, and had 7 rebounds. Johnson earned 22 points in his 35 mins on the court and totaled 8 dimes for the matchup.

Atlanta has a win-loss record of 0-1 so far this year. As an offense, the Hawks are shooting 42.2% from the floor, which has them ranked 28th in the league. Atlanta has accounted for 118 pts on the year and they collect 34.0 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 25.0 times per game (11th in basketball) and they are turning it over 16.0 times per contest. The Hawks have committed 24.0 personal fouls every game and they connect on 86.5% from the charity stripe.

The Hawks on defense are ranked 29th in basketball in points given up per game with 138.0. They are forcing their opponents into 19.0 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 56.8% from the field (29th in the league). The Atlanta defense concedes 24.0% on 3-point attempts (6 of 25) and their opposition makes 82.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 36.0 dimes and 54.0 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 29th and 28th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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