Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 6/11/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (-6.0)

With the series tied 1-1, the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) are hitting the road to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Indiana Pacers (50-32) in Game 3 of the NBA Finals. Oklahoma City opens this contest as 6-point favorites. The betting total is set at 229.

The Thunder took the court against the Pacers and took home the win by a score of 123-107 in Game 2. With respect to fouls, the Thunder left the arena with 20 while the Pacers racked up 25 fouls. They buried 14 of 40 shots from long range. Indiana finished the game at 73.1% at the charity stripe by knocking down 19 of 26 shots. On top of that, Indiana collected 35 rebounds (7 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Indiana doled out 27 assists and had 9 steals for the contest. When it comes to defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to shoot 45.1% from the floor on 37 out of 82 shooting. They also dished out 25 assists for the matchup while forcing 15 turnovers and having 10 steals. In the matter of hauling in boards, they compiled 43 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Thunder converted 29 of 33 shots for a rate of 87.9%. Oklahoma City walked away from the contest with a 48.8% FG percentage (40 out of 82) and made 14 of their 36 shots from downtown.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one guy who played a role for the matchup. He racked up 34 points on 11 out of 21 shooting. He was on the court for 36 mins and also pulled down 5 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up going 52.4% from the floor and also earned 8 dimes.

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Oklahoma City enters this one with a mark of 68-14 so far this year. They are turning it over 11.7 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 19.9 personal fouls per game. As a team, Oklahoma City is snagging 44.8 boards per game and has accounted for 2,202 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 12th in the league in terms of passing. The Thunder are shooting 37.4% on shots from beyond the arc (1,192 of 3,184) and 81.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 120.5 pts per contest (4th in the NBA) on 48.2% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Thunder are able to force 17.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.1 personal fouls. They are surrendering 34.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 3rd in the NBA in PPG allowed (107.6). The Thunder are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.6% (3,109 of 7,130) and they concede 44.9 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 4th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,018 conceded on the campaign.

In Game 2, the Pacers were able to collect 28 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 35 for the game. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while getting 9 steals in this matchup. The Thunder were called for 20 fouls for this game which took the Pacers to the free throw line for 26 attempts. They were able to convert 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 73.1%. In relation to 3-point attempts, Indiana buried 14 out of 40 attempts (35.0%). Overall, the Pacers went 37 out of 82 from the floor which had them sitting at 45.1%. The Pacers allowed the Thunder to convert 40 of their 82 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.8% for the matchup. They wrapped up this game 38.9% from distance via 14 out of 36 and walked away from this one shooting 29 of 33 at the free throw line (87.9%). In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Indiana allowed Oklahoma City to pull down 43 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Tyrese Haliburton was important for the Pacers in this contest. He converted 7 out of 13 for the game giving him a rate of 53.8%, and had 3 rebounds. Haliburton recorded 17 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and had 6 assists for the matchup.

Indiana has a record of 50-32 so far this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Pacers are shooting 48.8% from the field, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Indiana has totaled 9,624 points on the year (117.4 per contest) and they pull in 41.8 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 29.2 times per game (3rd in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.2 times per contest. The Pacers are responsible for committing 18.7 personal fouls every game and they connect on 78.9% from the free throw line.

The Pacers defensively are ranked 17th in basketball in points given up per game with 115.1. They have forced 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 47.4% from the floor (23rd in basketball). The Indiana defense allows 35.5% from downtown (1,058 of 2,978) and opponents are converting on 77.3% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 26.0 assists and 45.0 boards per game, which is 12th and 22nd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-6.0)

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