Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 12/11/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025

Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA

TV: Gulf Coast Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (-5.5)

The Portland Trail Blazers (9-15) are headed to Smoothie King Center on Thursday where they will try to beat the New Orleans Pelicans (3-22). Portland opens as 5.5-point favorites. The total is 237.

The Trail Blazers took the court against the Grizzlies and took a loss by a score of 119-96 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Trail Blazers ended up finishing with 27 while the Grizzlies recorded 25 personal fouls. They also made 10 out of their 35 shots from beyond the perimeter. Memphis finished the game shooting 74.4% from the free throw line by making 29 of their 39 shots. Furthermore, Memphis pulled down 51 boards (16 offensive, 35 defensive) and earned 5 rejections. Memphis distributed 28 dimes and had 18 steals for this contest. When it comes to defense, Portland allowed their opponent to shoot 44.9% from the floor on 40 out of 89 shooting. They also recorded 21 assists for the matchup while forcing the other team into 23 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they collected 40 with 10 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Trail Blazers converted 15 of their 18 attempts for a percentage of 83.3%. Portland finished with a 39.8% FG percentage (33 of 83) and buried 15 of their 43 three-point shots.

Jerami Grant is one guy who played a role for the contest. Grant shot 31.3% from the floor and dished out 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 32 mins played and also snagged 7 rebounds. He left the arena with 21 points on 5 out of 16 shooting.

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Portland heads into this one with a mark of 9-15 for the season. They cough up possession 17.0 times per contest and as a group are committing 22.8 fouls every game. As a team, Portland is pulling down 45.8 boards per game and has 591 dimes so far this season, which ranks 23rd in the league in terms of passing. The Trail Blazers are hitting 33.0% on three-point shots (330 of 1,001) and 79.8% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 117.4 pts per game (14th in the league) while hitting 44.2% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Trail Blazers are able to force 16.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 24.4 personal fouls. They give up 35.7% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 25th in the NBA in opponents points per game (120.6). The Trail Blazers defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 47.9% (1,025 of 2,140) and they surrender 44.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are ranked 19th in the NBA in allowing assists with 641 surrendered so far this season.

When they last played, the Pelicans went home defeated by a final of 135-132 when they faced the Spurs. In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, New Orleans permitted San Antonio to get 44 in all (13 on the offensive glass). They finished 47.2% from 3-point land by shooting 17 of 36 and ended up going 20 of 25 at the free throw line (80.0%). The Pelicans permitted the Spurs to bury 49 of their 99 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 49.5% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Pelicans went 51 out of 88 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 58.0%. Concerning 3-point shots, New Orleans buried 7 of 26 tries (26.9%). They were able to bury 23 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 88.5%. The Spurs were called for 19 personal fouls for this contest which got the Pelicans to the free throw line for 26 shots. They also turned it over 9 times, while earning 8 steals for this contest. The Pelicans were able to corral 29 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards totaling 33 in this game.

Derik Queen ended up being a major contributor for the Pelicans in the matchup. He made 11 out of 15 in this contest giving him a rate of 73.3%, and had 10 rebounds. Queen scored 33 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and earned 10 assists for the matchup.

New Orleans has a win-loss mark of 3-22 for the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Pelicans are connecting on 45.8% from the field, which has them ranked 22nd in the NBA. New Orleans has totaled 2,826 pts this season (113.0 per game) and they average 42.0 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 24.4 times per contest (28th in the league) and they are giving up possession 14.7 times per contest. The Pelicans commit 20.8 fouls per game and they hit 78.0% from the free throw line.

The Pelicans on the defensive end are ranked 28th in the league in points per game surrendered with 123.7. They are forcing 15.4 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 49.8% from the field (30th in the NBA). The New Orleans defense allows 37.1% on 3-point attempts (385 of 1,039) and their opponents are converting on 81.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 29.0 assists and 44.8 boards per contest, which is 28th and 19th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Portland (-5.5)

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