Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 2/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Toyota Center is the site where the Houston Rockets (31-17) will go up against the Boston Celtics (31-18) on Wednesday.

The Celtics faced the Bucks and walked away with a win by a score of 107-79 in their last contest. With respect to personal fouls, the Celtics ended up finishing with 16 and the Bucks finished the game with 17 personal fouls. They also buried 10 out of their 34 shots from downtown. Milwaukee finished the contest at 73.3% when shooting free throws by burying 11 of 15 attempts. Furthermore, Milwaukee had 40 rebounds (12 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Milwaukee recorded 17 assists and had 5 steals in this matchup. When talking about defense, Boston allowed 35.4% from the floor on 29 out of 82 shooting. They also doled out 24 dimes for this game while creating 11 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When talking about getting rebounds, they collected 52 with 17 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Celtics buried 10 of their 13 tries for a percentage of 76.9%. Boston wrapped up the game with a 44.6% FG percentage (41 out of 92) and converted 15 out of their 42 3-point attempts.

Jaylen Brown is one player who was a major factor in this game. He finished with 30 points on 12 out of 20 shooting. He played 29 minutes played and also grabbed 13 rebounds. Brown finished 60.0% from the field and distributed 2 dimes.

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Boston steps onto the hardwood with a record of 31-18 on the campaign. They have an average of 116.1 pts per contest (15th in the league) on 46.9% from the field. The Celtics are connecting on 36.7% on 3-point shots (764 of 2,080) and 79.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Boston is collecting 45.0 rebounds per game and has 1,172 dimes for the year, which is 29th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 12.0 times per game and as a unit they are committing 20.1 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Celtics are forcing their opponents into 13.6 turnovers per game and they draw 18.7 personal fouls. They currently rank 5th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,244 surrendered so far this season. The Celtics defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 44.4% (1,888 of 4,249) and they relinquish 42.2 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are surrendering 36.2% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (109.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Rockets walked away with a victory by a final of 118-114 against the Pacers. When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Houston permitted Indiana to get 33 in total (7 offensive). They finished the game shooting 46.2% from distance by going 12 out of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 16 out of 21 at the free throw line (76.2%). The Rockets allowed the Pacers to convert 43 of their 87 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 49.4% in this matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Rockets ended up going 40 for 87 from the field which had them shooting 46.0%. When talking about shooting from distance, Houston made 7 out of 22 tries (31.8%). They were able to knock down 31 of the free throw tries for a rate of 83.8%. The Pacers committed 27 fouls in this matchup which got the Rockets to the free throw line for 37 tries. They also gave up possession 16 times, while recording 7 steals in this game. The Rockets pulled down 37 defensive boards and 19 offensive boards totaling 56 for the game.

Alperen Sengun ended up being a factor for the Rockets for this game. He made 13 out of 25 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 52.0%, and had 16 rebounds. Sengun earned 39 points in his 35 mins on the court and had 5 assists for this contest.

Houston has a win-loss mark of 31-17 on the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Rockets are shooting 47.3% from the field, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Houston has accounted for 5,568 pts for the year (116.0 per game) and they snag 49.4 boards per game. They are earning an assist 25.0 times per contest (24th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 15.3 times per game. The Rockets are committing 18.7 personal fouls per game and they connect on 75.5% from the charity stripe.

The Houston defense surrenders 34.7% on shots from 3-point land (581 of 1,674) and their opponents are connecting on 75.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 24.6 dimes and 39.3 boards per game, which ranks them 3rd and 1st in the NBA. The Rockets on the defensive side of the court are 4th in the NBA in PPG given up with 110.0. They are able to force 13.4 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (6th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston

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