Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, 4/1/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Boston Celtics (50-25) are headed to Kaseya Center on Wednesday where they will meet the Miami Heat (40-36).

The Celtics faced the Hawks and took a loss by a score of 112-102 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Celtics finished with 20 and the Hawks totaled 14 personal fouls. They also buried 15 out of their 38 tries from 3-point land. Atlanta finished the game at 73.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 11 of 15 attempts. In addition, Atlanta collected 55 rebounds (16 offensive, 39 defensive) and earned 7 blocked shots. Atlanta doled out 31 dimes and had 8 steals in this contest. With regard to defense, Boston let their opponent shoot 46.7% from the field on 43 of 92 shooting. They also recorded 26 assists for this game as well as creating 12 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In reference to pulling down boards, they earned 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Celtics knocked down 18 of their 26 attempts for a rate of 69.2%. Boston ended having earned a 41.2% field goal percentage (35 out of 85) and knocked down 14 out of their 37 three-point shots.

Jaylen Brown is a player who had an impact in this matchup. Brown finished the game shooting 31.0% from the floor and also totaled 9 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 40 minutes and collected 10 rebounds. He walked away with 29 points on 9 of 29 shooting.

Get all of our NBA Picks Tonight

Boston heads into this game with a win-loss record of 50-25 for the campaign. They currently have an average of 114.0 points per outing (23rd in basketball) while going 46.3% from the field. The Celtics are hitting 36.2% on 3-pointers (1,141 of 3,153) and 80.5% from the free throw line. As a team, Boston is grabbing 46.5 boards per game and is sitting with 1,825 assists for the season, which has them ranked 29th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 12.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 19.1 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Celtics are forcing 12.4 turnovers per game and they draw 18.5 fouls. They concede 35.6% on 3-pointers and they are 1st in the NBA in opponents points per game (106.9). The Celtics defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 44.1% (2,865 of 6,498) and they concede 41.6 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 4th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,850 surrendered for the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Heat walked away with a victory by a final of 119-109 against the 76ers. With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Miami permitted Philadelphia to snag 53 overall (14 on the offensive glass). They went 31.6% from three-point range by shooting 12 out of 38 and ended up shooting 17 of 19 at the charity stripe (89.5%). The Heat permitted the 76ers to make 40 out of 96 tries from the field which had them shooting 41.7% for this game. When the final whistle blew, the Heat finished shooting 43 out of 93 from the field which had them shooting 46.2%. When talking about three-point attempts, Miami made 11 of their 40 tries (27.5%). They were able to knock down 22 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 75.9%. The 76ers earned 14 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while recording 8 steals for this game. The Heat were able to corral 45 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards for a total of 51 for this game.

Tyler Herro was important for the Heat in this contest. Herro accumulated 30 points in his 42 mins of playing time and added 3 assists for this contest. He converted 12 of 24 for the game for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 4 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss record of 40-36 this season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Heat are connecting on 46.4% from the field, which is ranked 19th in the league. Miami has scored 9,138 points this season (120.2 per game) and they collect 46.7 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 28.6 times per game (7th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.7 times per contest. The Heat have committed 18.9 fouls per contest and they connect on 79.3% from the charity stripe.

The Heat defensively are ranked 22nd in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 117.8. They are able to force 15.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the floor (8th in the league). The Miami defense surrenders 35.3% from downtown (1,052 of 2,979) and their opponents are converting on 80.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 27.3 dimes and 46.6 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 19th and 28th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.