Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 3/10/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: State Farm Arena vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: NBC

The Atlanta Hawks (33-31) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (21-43) at State Farm Arena on Tuesday.

The Mavericks stepped onto the hardwood against the Raptors and took a loss by a score of 122-92 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Mavericks ended up finishing with 20 while the Raptors racked up 19 fouls. They also buried 10 of their 36 attempts from downtown. Toronto went 72.7% when shooting free throws by burying 16 of 22 shots. Furthermore, Toronto pulled down 42 rebounds (8 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 7 blocks. Toronto dished out 39 dimes and had 11 steals for this contest. In the matter of defense, Dallas let their opponent shoot 50.5% from the field on 48 out of 95 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists in the matchup while forcing 8 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In terms of rebounding, they earned 47 with 13 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Mavericks buried 17 of 20 attempts for a percentage of 85.0%. Dallas ended having earned a 39.8% FG percentage (35 of 88) and made 5 out of their 30 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Daniel Gafford is someone who had an impact for the matchup. He walked away with 21 points on 10 of 10 shooting. He was on the court for 23 minutes and snagged 11 rebounds. Gafford ended up shooting 100.0% from the field and dished out 3 dimes.

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Dallas heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 21-43 on the year. They are giving up possession 14.8 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 18.2 fouls per contest. As a unit, Dallas is pulling down 44.7 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,590 assists for the year, which is 24th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks are shooting 33.9% on 3-point shots (677 of 1,995) and 74.3% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 113.0 pts per game (23rd in basketball) while shooting 46.8% from the field.

On defense, the Mavericks are forcing 13.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.0 personal fouls. They rank 25th in the league in giving up assists with 1,780 relinquished so far this season. The Mavericks defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 47.0% (2,828 of 6,023) and they surrender 46.8 boards per contest as a squad. They are conceding 34.0% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 22nd in the league in PPG from their opponents (117.7).

The last time they took the court, the Hawks took home the win by a final score of 125-116 against the 76ers. The Hawks collected 27 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 39 for the contest. They turned the ball over 21 times, while recording 11 steals for the contest. The 76ers earned 20 fouls for this game which took the Hawks to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They were able to bury 20 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 80.0%. When talking about shooting from downtown, Atlanta knocked down 13 out of 32 attempts (40.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Hawks finished the game shooting 46 out of 83 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.4%. The Hawks allowed the 76ers to bury 47 out of 86 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 54.7% for the matchup. They went 38.5% from three-point range via 10 out of 26 and finished the game at 12 out of 18 from the free throw line (66.7%). In the matter of cleaning the glass, Atlanta allowed Philadelphia to pull down 36 overall (10 on the offensive side).

Jalen Johnson ended up being important for the Hawks in this matchup. Johnson earned 35 points in his 39 minutes on the hardwood and earned 7 assists for this contest. He made 12 out of 19 in this contest for a rate of 63.2%, and added 10 rebounds.

Atlanta has a win-loss record of 33-31 on the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Hawks are shooting 47.2% from the field, which ranks them 13th in the league. Atlanta has accumulated 7,534 pts this season (117.7 per game) and they snag 43.2 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 30.5 times per game (1st in the league) and they are giving up possession 14.4 times per contest. The Hawks commit 19.8 fouls every game and they go 77.6% from the charity stripe.

The Atlanta defense allows 35.6% on shots from beyond the arc (839 of 2,356) and their opposition makes 79.4% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 27.0 dimes and 46.3 boards every game, which has them ranked 16th and 26th in basketball. The Hawks on defense are ranked 21st in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 117.3. They have forced 15.8 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 47.3% from the field (21st in the NBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta and under the total points

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