Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 10/23/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Friday, October 23, 2026

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: DAZN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+6.5)

The Dallas Mavericks (26-56 last season) are en route to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday where they will try to beat the Indiana Pacers (19-63 last year). Dallas opens this contest as 6.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 235.5.

The Mavericks faced the Rockets and ended up losing by a score of 128-110 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Mavericks walked away with 23 and the Rockets recorded 20 fouls. They made 16 of their 36 shots from beyond the arc. Houston finished 72.0% at the charity stripe by knocking down 18 of their 25 attempts. On top of that, Houston grabbed 42 boards (17 offensive, 25 defensive) and got 4 rejections. Houston distributed 32 assists and had 11 steals in this matchup. When talking about the defense, Dallas allowed 53.4% from the field on 47 of 88 shooting. They also distributed 20 dimes for the game while forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and having 12 steals. In terms of grabbing boards, they compiled 33 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Mavericks knocked down 17 of their 26 shots for a percentage of 65.4%. Dallas walked away from the contest with a 51.9% field goal percentage (41 out of 79) and knocked down 11 of their 37 3-point attempts.

Cooper Flagg is one guy who was a major factor in this matchup. Flagg finished the game shooting 58.8% from the field and also recorded 2 dimes. He played for 33 minutes and also totaled 5 rebounds. He ended up with 32 points on 10 of 17 shooting.

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Dallas steps onto the court after finishing with a win-loss record of 26-56 last year. They lost possession via turnover 14.5 times per contest and as a basketball team committed 18.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Dallas pulled in 44.7 boards per game and earned 2,072 assists last season, which was 22nd in the league in terms of passing. The Mavericks connected on 34.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (899 of 2,615) and 75.5% from the charity stripe. They had an average of 114.1 points per contest (23rd in the league) while hitting 46.6% from the floor.

Defensively, the Mavericks were able to force 13.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and they drew 21.0 fouls. They were ranked 27th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,325 surrendered throughout last year. The Mavericks defensively gave up and opponent field goal percentage of 47.8% (3,676 of 7,695) and they conceded 46.8 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They gave up 35.0% from beyond the arc while they were 23rd in the league in PPG allowed (119.6).

In their last game, the Pacers went home victorious with a score of 123-120 when they faced the Pelicans. Regarding rebounding, Indiana permitted New Orleans to get 49 overall (14 offensive). They finished shooting 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by going 10 of 30 and finished the contest at 34 out of 37 at the free throw line (91.9%). The Pacers allowed the Pelicans to bury 38 of their 89 attempts from the floor which had them at 42.7% in this game. When the final whistle was blown, the Pacers finished the game shooting 47 out of 90 from the floor which had them at 52.2%. With regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Indiana made 9 of 30 attempts (30.0%). They were able to knock down 20 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 69.0%. The Pelicans had 24 personal fouls for this game which took the Pacers to the charity stripe for a total of 29 shots. They turned the ball over 13 times, while getting 9 steals in this game. The Pacers were able to collect 34 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 43 for this contest.

Pascal Siakam ended up having an impact for the Pacers in this matchup. He made 13 out of 23 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 56.5%, and accounted for 8 rebounds. Siakam had 30 points in his 35 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for this contest.

Indiana had a mark of 19-63 last year. The Pacers committed 20.9 personal fouls per contest and they hit 77.6% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists was at 27.7 times per game (12th in the league) and they turned it over 14.5 times per contest. Indiana had 9,219 points last season (112.4 per game) and they grabbed 41.9 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Pacers connected on 45.8% from the field, which was ranked 26th in basketball.

The Indiana defense allowed 35.5% on 3-point shots (993 of 2,794) and opponents converted on 77.3% of their free throw shots. They surrendered 26.4 dimes and 46.7 boards every game, ranking them 14th and 27th in the NBA. The Pacers on the defensive end were ranked 25th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 120.4. They forced their opponents into 13.5 TO's per game and let teams shoot 48.9% from the field (27th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dallas (+6.5)

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