Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 2/27/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Friday, February 27, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: ESPN

Paycom Center is the location where the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-14) will meet the Denver Nuggets (36-22) on Friday.

The Nuggets stepped onto the hardwood against the Warriors and went home with a loss by a final score of 128-117 in their last contest. Denver finished the game with a 46.2% field goal percentage (42 out of 91) and buried 8 of 31 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets converted 25 of 29 attempts for a rate of 86.2%. With respect to rebounding, they compiled 44 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 25 assists for the game as well as creating 18 turnovers and earning 13 steals. In terms of the defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 51.1% from the field on 48 of 94 shooting. Golden State totaled 42 dimes and had 14 steals in this game. Additionally, Golden State snagged 44 rebounds (9 offensive, 35 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Golden State ended up shooting 91.7% at the free throw line by knocking down 11 of their 12 shots. They buried 21 of their 52 tries from distance. In the matter of personal fouls, the Nuggets finished with 11 while the Warriors finished the game with 24 personal fouls.

Nikola Jokic is a player who played a role in this matchup. Jokic finished 52.4% from the field and dished out 12 assists. He was on the court for 36 mins played and totaled 20 boards. He racked up 35 points on 11 out of 21 shooting.

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Denver heads into this one with a win-loss mark of 36-22 on the season. They are averaging 120.8 pts per contest (1st in the league) while connecting on 49.5% from the floor. The Nuggets are connecting on 39.4% on shots from downtown (797 of 2,022) and 81.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Denver is grabbing 43.0 boards per game and has earned 1,634 dimes this year, which has them ranked 8th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest and as a team they commit 19.0 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Nuggets have forced 12.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.7 personal fouls. They currently rank 17th in the league in giving up assists with 1,560 relinquished this year. The Nuggets defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 46.7% (2,456 of 5,254) and they concede 42.6 boards per game as a basketball team. They are relinquishing 35.1% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 19th in the league in opponents points per game (116.3).

When they last stepped on the court, the Thunder walked away with a victory by a final of 116-107 against the Raptors. The Thunder were able to snag 37 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards totaling 49 in this game. They turned it over 19 times, while earning 10 steals in this contest. The Raptors had 22 fouls in this contest which got the Thunder to the charity stripe for a total of 12 attempts. They were able to bury 10 of those for a rate of 83.3%. When it comes to three-point attempts, Oklahoma City made 16 out of their 40 attempts (40.0%). Overall, the Thunder finished shooting 45 out of 95 from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.4%. The Thunder permitted the Raptors to convert 41 out of their 88 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 46.6% in this game. They wrapped up this game 47.4% from downtown by going 18 of 38 and finished the contest at 7 of 12 from the charity stripe (58.3%). Concerning how they rebounded, Oklahoma City allowed Toronto to grab 34 in total (7 on the offensive side).

Cason Wallace ended up being a factor for the Thunder for this contest. Wallace recorded 27 points in his 35 mins on the court and had 7 dimes for the contest. He knocked down 11 out of 16 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 68.8%, and accumulated 8 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a record of 45-14 this year. In terms of offensive execution, the Thunder are shooting 48.6% from the field, which is 3rd in basketball. Oklahoma City has accumulated 7,045 points on the year (119.4 per game) and they pull in 43.8 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 25.6 times per contest (18th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 12.7 times per game. The Thunder commit 19.4 fouls per game and they shoot 81.9% from the charity stripe.

The Thunder defensively are ranked 2nd in the league in PPG surrendered with 107.7. They are able to force 17.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.5% from the field (1st in the NBA). The Oklahoma City defense concedes 36.9% on shots from distance (846 of 2,295) and opponents are making 74.7% of their foul shots. They surrender 25.0 dimes and 45.2 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 7th and 23rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Denver

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