Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 3/9/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Monday, March 9, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: Peacock

The Denver Nuggets (39-25) are hitting the road to Paycom Center on Monday where they will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-15).

The Nuggets played the Knicks and ended up losing by a score of 142-103 in their last contest. Denver ended with a 44.6% field goal percentage (37 of 83) and made 8 out of their 40 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the free throw line, the Nuggets made 21 of 30 tries for a percentage of 70.0%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they earned 31 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 30 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 6 steals. With regard to the defense, Denver allowed the other team to go 57.9% from the field on 55 out of 95 shooting. New York recorded 44 assists and had 11 steals for the game. On top of that, New York grabbed 50 boards (14 offensive, 36 defensive) and earned 1 block. New York finished the contest at 76.2% from the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 21 attempts. They converted 16 out of their 34 attempts from beyond the arc. With respect to personal fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 19 while the Knicks recorded 24 personal fouls.

Nikola Jokic is someone who was a major factor in the game. Jokic walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the floor and also earned 5 assists. He saw the court for 31 minutes played and pulled down 8 boards. He ended up with 38 points on 14 out of 21 shooting.

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Denver comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 39-25 this year. They are averaging 120.2 pts per contest (1st in the league) while going 49.2% from the field. The Nuggets are hitting 38.9% on three-point attempts (874 of 2,245) and 80.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Denver is grabbing 43.0 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,792 dimes so far this season, which ranks 7th in the league in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 13.1 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.9 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Nuggets are forcing 12.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.7 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 23rd in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,738 relinquished this year. The Nuggets defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 47.0% (2,721 of 5,789) and they relinquish 42.7 rebounds per contest as a team. They are giving up 35.3% from 3-point land while they are 19th in basketball in points per game allowed (116.5).

In their last game, the Thunder took home the win by a final score of 104-97 when they faced the Warriors. The Thunder snagged 35 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 42 in the game. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while getting 7 steals for the contest. The Warriors earned 18 fouls in the matchup which took the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They were able to knock down 23 of them for a clip of 95.8%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, Oklahoma City made 15 out of their 42 attempts (35.7%). When the final whistle was blown, the Thunder walked away from this one shooting 33 for 78 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.3%. The Thunder permitted the Warriors to make 36 of their 88 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 40.9% for the contest. They finished 31.1% from behind the 3-point line by going 14 of 45 and ended up shooting 11 of 18 from the charity stripe (61.1%). In reference to rebounding, Oklahoma City allowed Golden State to snag 47 in all (15 on the offensive side).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up being a major contributor for the Thunder in the matchup. Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 27 points in his 35 mins on the court and accounted for 5 dimes in this contest. He knocked down 6 out of 15 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 40.0%, and accumulated 5 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a record of 50-15 so far this year. The Thunder have committed 19.2 fouls every game and they connect on 82.3% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 25.5 times per contest (20th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per contest. Oklahoma City has 7,711 points for the season (118.6 per contest) and they average 43.9 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Thunder are connecting on 48.1% from the field, which ranks 4th in the NBA.

The Thunder are ranked 2nd in the league in PPG given up with 107.6. They are forcing 17.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the field (1st in the NBA). The Oklahoma City defense allows 36.5% from downtown (923 of 2,530) and their opponents are making 74.4% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 25.0 dimes and 45.6 boards per game, which ranks them 8th and 24th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Denver

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