Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 3/12/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The San Antonio Spurs (48-17) will go up against the Denver Nuggets (39-26) at Frost Bank Center on Thursday.

The Nuggets stepped onto the hardwood against the Thunder and ended up losing by a score of 129-126 in their last game. When discussing fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 20 while the Thunder recorded 20 fouls. They buried 19 of their 47 shots from beyond the arc. Oklahoma City ended up going 76.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of their 21 attempts. In addition, Oklahoma City grabbed 37 rebounds (3 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 3 rejections. Oklahoma City earned 27 assists and had 3 steals in this game. In relation to the defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 50.5% from the field on 47 of 93 shooting. They also recorded 29 assists for this game in addition to forcing 3 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 56 with 16 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets knocked down 21 of their 29 attempts for a rate of 72.4%. Denver wrapped up the game having earned a 45.9% field goal percentage (45 out of 98) and converted 15 out of their 37 3-point attempts.

Nikola Jokic is a guy who was a major factor in the matchup. He recorded 32 points on 12 of 19 shooting. He saw the court for 40 mins and pulled down 14 boards. Jokic finished the game shooting 63.2% from the field and also dished out 13 assists.

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Denver heads into this one with a mark of 39-26 on the campaign. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.0 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 19.0 fouls every game. As a unit, Denver is snagging 43.2 boards per contest and has accounted for 1,821 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 9th in the league in terms of passing. The Nuggets are shooting 39.0% on shots from downtown (889 of 2,282) and 80.6% from the free throw line. They average 120.3 points per contest (2nd in basketball) while shooting 49.2% from the field.

On defense, the Nuggets are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game while drawing 21.7 personal fouls. They are ranked 18th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,765 conceded this season. The Nuggets defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 47.1% (2,768 of 5,882) and they relinquish 42.6 rebounds per game as a squad. They concede 35.4% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 19th in basketball in PPG allowed (116.6).

In their last game, the Spurs got the victory with a final of 125-116 when they played the Celtics. The Spurs recorded 35 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 44 for the matchup. They also turned it over 12 times, while earning 3 steals for this contest. The Celtics were called for 18 fouls for this contest which took the Spurs to the free throw line for a total of 25 attempts. They were able to bury 17 of the free throws for a rate of 68.0%. With regard to 3-point shots, San Antonio made 20 of 47 tries (42.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Spurs ended up going 44 for 85 from the floor which had them at 51.8%. The Spurs allowed the Celtics to bury 42 of 89 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 47.2% for the matchup. They finished shooting 37.3% from beyond the arc by shooting 19 out of 51 and ended up going 13 out of 17 from the free throw line (76.5%). In relation to rebounding, San Antonio permitted Boston to get 37 in total (5 on the offensive side).

Victor Wembanyama ended up being a major contributor for the Spurs in the matchup. Wembanyama earned 39 points in his 37 mins of playing time and had 3 assists in this game. He knocked down 11 of 20 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 55.0%, and tallied 11 rebounds.

San Antonio has a record of 48-17 on the year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Spurs are connecting on 48.1% from the field, which ranks them 5th in the league. San Antonio has scored 7,716 pts on the year (118.7 per game) and they pull down 46.3 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 27.3 times per contest (11th in basketball) and they are turning it over 13.7 times per contest. The Spurs commit 19.1 fouls per game and they go 77.9% from the free throw line.

The Spurs are ranked 7th in basketball in points given up per game with 111.6. They are forcing their opponents into 13.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.1% from the field (4th in the NBA). The San Antonio defense concedes 35.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (839 of 2,364) and opponents are converting on 78.8% of their foul shots. They have conceded 26.1 dimes and 43.2 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 10th and 10th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Antonio

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