Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 3/21/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Atlanta Hawks (38-31) are hosting the Golden State Warriors (33-36) at State Farm Arena on Saturday.

The Warriors took the court against the Celtics and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 120-99 in their last contest. Golden State ended the contest having earned a 40.0% field goal percentage (36 of 90) and made 10 of their 43 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Warriors knocked down 17 of 24 shots for a percentage of 70.8%. With respect to rebounding, they collected a total of 39 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 26 assists for the contest in addition to creating 16 turnovers and earning 12 steals. In reference to the defense, Golden State allowed 47.8% from the field on 44 of 92 shooting. Boston doled out 22 dimes and had 12 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Boston collected 49 rebounds (15 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Boston ended up going 94.7% from the free throw line by burying 18 of 19 tries. They also knocked down 14 of their 39 shots from 3-point range. Concerning personal fouls, the Warriors walked away with 17 and the Celtics racked up 20 personal fouls.

Gary Payton II is a guy who had an impact in this matchup. He scored 14 points on 7 out of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 21 mins played and snagged 6 rebounds. Payton shot 63.6% from the field and earned 4 assists.

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Golden State enters this one with a record of 33-36 so far this season. They average 115.0 pts per contest (19th in basketball) on 45.8% from the floor. The Warriors are hitting 35.6% on shots from beyond the arc (1,109 of 3,119) and 80.5% from the free throw line. As a team, Golden State is collecting 42.8 boards per contest and has earned 2,009 assists this season, which ranks 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 15.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.7 fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Warriors are able to force 16.0 turnovers every game while drawing 18.3 fouls. They are ranked 13th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,839 relinquished for the campaign. The Warriors defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 47.3% (2,895 of 6,116) and they concede 45.2 boards per game as a unit. They are surrendering 35.4% from beyond the arc and they are 12th in the NBA in PPG allowed (114.5).

When they last played, the Hawks walked away with a victory by a final of 135-120 when they played the Mavericks. Concerning rebounding, Atlanta permitted Dallas to collect 43 in total (11 on the offensive glass). They shot 39.3% from three-point range by connecting on 11 out of 28 and finished the contest at 25 out of 29 from the charity stripe (86.2%). The Hawks allowed the Mavericks to knock down 42 of 86 attempts from the field which had them at 48.8% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Hawks shot 55 out of 102 from the floor which had them shooting 53.9%. Regarding 3-point shots, Atlanta buried 14 out of their 35 tries (40.0%). They were able to bury 11 of the free throws for a percentage of 78.6%. The Mavericks had 12 personal fouls for the contest which took the Hawks to the charity stripe for 14 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while getting 10 steals in the matchup. The Hawks corralled 30 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 42 in the game.

CJ McCollum pitched in for the Hawks for the contest. McCollum recorded 24 points in his 28 minutes on the court and had 7 assists for the game. He converted 9 of 14 for this contest for a rate of 64.3%, but wasn't able to grab a board.

Atlanta has a mark of 38-31 for the season. The Hawks commit 19.7 fouls per game and they shoot 77.3% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 30.4 times per game (1st in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.2 times per contest. Atlanta has accounted for 8,147 points so far this year (118.1 per contest) and they pull in 43.5 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Hawks are connecting on 47.3% from the field, which is ranked 13th in the league.

The Atlanta defense gives up 35.6% on shots from distance (901 of 2,531) and their opponents are converting on 79.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 26.7 dimes and 45.8 boards every game, which ranks 15th and 26th in basketball. The Hawks defensively are ranked 20th in the NBA in PPG given up with 116.6. They are forcing 15.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.3% from the floor (17th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State

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