Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction, 2/21/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (29-27) will try to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies (20-33) on Saturday.

The Grizzlies faced the Nuggets and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 122-116 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Grizzlies finished with 32 and the Nuggets finished the game with 19 personal fouls. They knocked down 10 out of their 22 tries from beyond the perimeter. Denver ended up going 81.3% when shooting free throws by making 26 of 32 attempts. Moreover, Denver snagged 46 rebounds (9 offensive, 37 defensive) and had 5 rejections. Denver recorded 29 assists and had 2 steals in this matchup. In relation to defending, Memphis allowed their opponent to shoot 53.1% from the field on 43 of 81 shooting. They also distributed 28 dimes in this contest while creating 15 turnovers and having 12 steals. With regard to grabbing boards, they compiled 29 with 8 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Grizzlies knocked down 17 of their 21 attempts for a percentage of 81.0%. Memphis ended the game having earned a 46.2% FG percentage (42 out of 91) and knocked down 15 of 39 3-pointers.

GG Jackson II is someone who was a major contributor in the game. He accumulated 21 points on 6 of 12 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 28 minutes and grabbed 5 boards. Jackson II ended up shooting 50.0% from the floor and distributed 3 dimes.

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Memphis enters this contest with a mark of 20-33 this season. They turn it over 15.2 times per contest and as a squad are committing 20.1 fouls every game. As a unit, Memphis is pulling in 45.0 rebounds per game and has earned 1,520 assists on the season, which has them ranked 9th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Grizzlies are connecting on 35.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (713 of 2,034) and 79.7% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 115.3 points per contest (17th in the NBA) while shooting 45.8% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Grizzlies are forcing 14.9 turnovers per game while drawing 20.2 fouls. They give up 36.1% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 22nd in basketball in PPG allowed (117.5). The Grizzlies defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.9% (2,263 of 4,829) and they concede 45.0 boards per game as a basketball team. They are 13th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,438 relinquished this season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Heat got the victory with a final of 123-111 when they faced the Pelicans. Concerning how they attacked the glass, Miami allowed New Orleans to snag 46 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished 35.5% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 11 out of 31 and finished the contest at 16 out of 19 from the charity stripe (84.2%). The Heat permitted the Pelicans to bury 42 of 92 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 45.7% in the matchup. When the game finished, the Heat finished shooting 42 out of 102 from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.2%. When discussing shots from beyond the arc, Miami buried 14 out of 47 tries (29.8%). They were able to knock down 25 of them for a percentage of 75.8%. The Pelicans were called for 23 fouls in the game which took the Heat to the charity stripe for 33 attempts. They also coughed it up 8 times, while getting 8 steals in the game. The Heat were able to pull down 38 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive boards totaling 56 for the contest.

Bam Adebayo was important for the Heat in the matchup. Adebayo scored 27 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 4 dimes for the contest. He buried 6 out of 19 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 31.6%, and had 14 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 29-27 for the campaign. The Heat commit 18.9 fouls every game and they connect on 78.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 28.6 times per contest (8th in basketball) and they are giving up possession 14.2 times per game. Miami has totaled 6,697 pts for the campaign (119.6 per contest) and they collect 46.9 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are hitting on 46.1% from the field, which has them ranked 21st in the league.

The Heat on defense are ranked 20th in the league in points allowed per game with 117.2. They are forcing their opponents into 15.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.8% from the field (6th in the NBA). The Miami defense concedes 34.7% on shots from behind the 3-point line (770 of 2,217) and opponents are connecting on 80.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 27.1 assists and 47.4 boards per contest, which is 18th and 29th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Memphis

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