Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 11/5/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

The Miami Heat (2-5) are on their way to Chase Center on Thursday where they will compete against the Golden State Warriors (5-3).

The Heat took the court against the Lakers and went home with a loss by a final score of 138-117 in their last contest. Concerning personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 23 and the Lakers totaled 28 personal fouls. They knocked down 19 of their 43 shots from distance. Los Angeles shot 70.8% from the free throw line by converting 17 of 24 attempts. In addition, Los Angeles collected 41 rebounds (10 offensive, 31 defensive) and had 5 rejections. Los Angeles doled out 39 dimes and had 8 steals for the matchup. Pertaining to the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 57.3% from the floor on 51 out of 89 shooting. They also dished out 28 assists in this contest as well as creating 16 turnovers and having 7 steals. In reference to getting rebounds, they compiled 34 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Heat knocked down 25 of their 35 tries for a percentage of 71.4%. Miami finished having earned a 50.7% FG percentage (38 of 75) and made 16 out of their 41 three-point attempts.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is a player who had an impact for this contest. He scored 30 points on 10 out of 17 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 34 minutes and also grabbed 12 boards. Antetokounmpo finished shooting 58.8% from the field and also dished out 7 assists.

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Miami steps onto the court with a record of 2-5 this year. They have an average of 118.1 points per contest (9th in the league) while connecting on 47.8% from the field. The Heat are connecting on 34.8% on 3-point shots (94 of 270) and 73.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is snagging 42.3 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 201 dimes this year, which ranks 10th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 15.6 times per contest and as a team are committing 21.1 fouls per game.

On defense, the Heat are forcing 16.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 24.0 fouls. They are relinquishing 41.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 27th in the league in PPG from their opponents (123.9). The Heat defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 48.8% (315 of 645) and they concede 45.7 boards per contest as a squad. They are 25th in the league in giving up assists with 209 conceded this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Warriors got the victory with a final of 116-113 against the Suns. The Warriors earned 32 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 44 for this contest. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while getting 7 steals in this game. The Suns committed 29 personal fouls in the game which took the Warriors to the free throw line for a total of 37 attempts. They were able to make 31 of the free throws for a rate of 83.8%. In the matter of shots from 3-point land, Golden State converted 13 out of 42 attempts (31.0%). At the conclusion of this game, the Warriors ended up going 36 for 84 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.9%. The Warriors allowed the Suns to make 40 out of their 85 tries from the floor which had them shooting 47.1% in this contest. They wrapped up this game 36.7% from three-point range by going 11 of 30 and finished the game at 22 of 30 at the free throw line (73.3%). Regarding cleaning up the glass, Golden State allowed Phoenix to get 37 in all (9 on the offensive glass).

Stephen Curry pitched in for the Warriors for the matchup. He buried 9 out of 21 in this game for a field goal rate of 42.9%, and had 6 rebounds. Curry had 34 points in his 33 mins on the court and had 7 dimes in the matchup.

Golden State has a win-loss mark of 5-3 for the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Warriors are hitting on 45.5% from the field, which ranks 19th in basketball. Golden State has 940 points on the season (117.5 per contest) and they grab 43.9 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 26.8 times per contest (13th in basketball) and they turn it over 16.5 times per contest. The Warriors commit 22.3 fouls per contest and they go 81.8% from the charity stripe.

The Warriors are ranked 17th in the league in points allowed per contest with 114.6. They are able to force 17.5 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 48.3% from the floor (26th in basketball). The Golden State defense gives up 35.3% on shots from distance (101 of 286) and opponents are knocking down 79.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 27.3 assists and 41.3 total boards per game, which is 20th and 5th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State

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