Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 1/20/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Golden 1 Center is the location where the Sacramento Kings (12-31) will take on the Miami Heat (22-20) on Tuesday.

The Heat played the Thunder and walked away with a win by a score of 122-120 in their last game. Miami ended having earned a 36.9% field goal percentage (41 out of 111) and knocked down 20 of their 50 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Heat converted 20 of their 28 shots for a percentage of 71.4%. In terms of rebounding, they compiled 51 with 21 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 30 assists for the matchup in addition to creating 15 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In regard to defending, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 54.5% from the floor on 42 of 77 shooting. Oklahoma City recorded 23 dimes and had 3 steals in this contest. Additionally, Oklahoma City had 46 rebounds (5 offensive, 41 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Oklahoma City went 82.1% when shooting free throws by making 23 of 28 tries. They also made 13 out of their 29 shots from downtown. With respect to fouls, the Heat finished with 21 while the Thunder recorded 19 fouls.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who was important for the matchup. Adebayo finished the game at 40.9% from the floor and also totaled 4 dimes. He was on the court for 32 mins and collected 12 boards. He recorded 30 points on 9 out of 22 shooting.

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Miami will play this contest with a mark of 22-20 on the year. They cough up possession 14.3 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 19.2 personal fouls every game. As a team, Miami is snagging 45.5 boards per game and has accounted for 1,197 dimes so far this season, which is 8th in basketball in terms of passing. The Heat are connecting on 36.9% on shots from 3-point land (556 of 1,507) and 78.8% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 119.5 pts per game (5th in the NBA) while going 46.7% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat are forcing 16.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.3 fouls. They are ranked 19th in the league in allowing assists with 1,131 conceded on the season. The Heat defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 46.0% (1,804 of 3,918) and they surrender 47.5 rebounds per game as a unit. They give up 34.5% from 3-point land and they rank 22nd in basketball in PPG allowed (117.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Kings took a defeat with a final score of 117-110 when they faced the Trail Blazers. When it comes to cleaning up the glass, Sacramento permitted Portland to collect 43 in all (11 offensive). They wrapped up this game 25.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 8 out of 32 and finished the game at 29 of 33 at the free throw line (87.9%). The Kings permitted the Trail Blazers to knock down 40 out of 83 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 48.2% for the contest. Overall, the Kings finished 42 for 86 from the field which gave them a rate of 48.8%. In terms of shooting from 3-point land, Sacramento converted 11 of 31 tries (35.5%). They were able to bury 15 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 83.3%. The Trail Blazers earned 18 personal fouls for this game which took the Kings to the free throw line for 18 shots. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while earning 8 steals in this matchup. The Kings collected 30 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 40 for the game.

Malik Monk was important for the Kings for the contest. He buried 9 of 15 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and accumulated 1 rebound. Monk recorded 23 points in his 26 mins on the hardwood and had 2 assists for this contest.

Sacramento has a record of 12-31 this year. The Kings commit 20.5 personal fouls every game and they connect on 75.9% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 25.2 times per contest (20th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 14.4 times per game. Sacramento has accounted for 4,756 points on the year (110.6 per game) and they pull in 40.7 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Kings are hitting on 46.6% from the field, which has them ranked 20th in the league.

The Sacramento defense allows 34.5% on 3-point shots (534 of 1,547) and opponents are making 77.9% of their free throw shots. They concede 27.3 dimes and 45.6 boards per contest, which is ranked 21st and 25th in the NBA. The Kings on the defensive side of the court are 27th in the league in PPG given up with 120.5. They are forcing 14.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 49.2% from the field (29th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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