Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 1/7/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN

The Golden State Warriors (19-18) will try to defeat the Milwaukee Bucks (16-20) at Chase Center on Wednesday.

The Bucks faced the Kings and took home the win by a score of 115-98 in their last contest. Milwaukee walked away from the game having earned a 44.8% FG percentage (39 of 87) and buried 10 out of their 37 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Bucks knocked down 27 of their 30 tries for a percentage of 90.0%. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they earned 48 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 23 dimes in this game in addition to creating 10 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When discussing defense, Milwaukee allowed 42.5% from the field on 34 out of 80 shooting. Sacramento earned 17 assists and had 10 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Sacramento snagged 38 rebounds (6 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Sacramento shot 78.1% from the charity stripe by knocking down 25 of their 32 shots. They also buried 5 out of their 25 tries from beyond the arc. With respect to personal fouls, the Bucks finished with 21 and the Kings recorded 22 personal fouls.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is one player who came through for this game. He walked away with 37 points on 13 of 17 shooting. He played 32 minutes and also pulled down 11 rebounds. Antetokounmpo finished 76.5% from the field and dished out 1 assist.

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Milwaukee comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 16-20 so far this year. They are averaging 113.3 points per outing (26th in the league) while connecting on 48.5% from the field. The Bucks are connecting on 39.5% on 3-pointers (531 of 1,345) and 74.1% from the free throw line. As a team, Milwaukee is pulling in 40.5 rebounds per game and has 942 assists for the campaign, which is 16th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.9 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 21.3 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Bucks are forcing 14.3 turnovers per game while drawing 19.1 personal fouls. They are 18th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 958 conceded for the season. The Bucks defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.6% (1,467 of 3,146) and they surrender 44.4 boards per game as a unit. They are surrendering 36.0% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 14th in the NBA in points per game allowed (115.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Warriors took a loss by a final score of 103-102 when they faced the Clippers. In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Golden State allowed Los Angeles to snag 48 overall (6 on the offensive glass). They shot 34.5% from downtown by shooting 10 out of 29 and ended up shooting 19 of 21 at the charity stripe (90.5%). The Warriors permitted the Clippers to make 37 of 77 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.1% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Warriors went 35 out of 92 from the field which gave them a rate of 38.0%. Pertaining to shots from beyond the arc, Golden State knocked down 10 of 41 attempts (24.4%). They were able to make 22 of the free throws for a percentage of 81.5%. The Clippers committed 21 personal fouls for the contest which got the Warriors to the charity stripe for a total of 27 attempts. They also coughed it up 7 times, while getting 18 steals for the game. The Warriors corralled 28 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 40 for the matchup.

Stephen Curry was important for the Warriors in this matchup. He made 9 out of 23 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 39.1%, and totaled 4 rebounds. Curry earned 27 points in his 34 mins of playing time and accounted for 6 assists in this matchup.

Golden State has a record of 19-18 for the year. The Warriors commit 20.5 personal fouls every game and they go 81.8% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 28.0 times per contest (8th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 15.9 times per contest. Golden State has earned 4,249 pts on the campaign (114.8 per contest) and they average 43.5 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Warriors are connecting on 45.2% from the field, which has them ranked 27th in the league.

The Warriors defensively are ranked 7th in the league in points given up per game with 113.6. They are forcing 15.8 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.9% from the floor (15th in the league). The Golden State defense allows 34.6% from downtown (451 of 1,302) and their opposition knocks down 80.2% of their free throw attempts. They allow 26.2 dimes and 44.9 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 12th and 20th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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