Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 5/6/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+9.5)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) are on their way to Frost Bank Center on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) in Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Wolves lead 1-0. San Antonio is 9.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 215.5.

The Timberwolves went home with a win by a final score of 104-102 in Game 1. When talking about fouls, the Timberwolves ended up with 22 while the Spurs had 25 fouls. They also made 10 out of their 36 tries from three-point range. San Antonio finished the contest at 77.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 14 of their 18 shots. Additionally, San Antonio snagged 47 rebounds (13 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 5 blocks. San Antonio totaled 24 dimes and had 4 steals for this game. When talking about defense, Minnesota allowed 44.8% from the floor on 39 of 87 shooting. They also distributed 20 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing 14 turnovers and getting 7 steals. With regard to pulling down boards, they compiled 46 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Timberwolves made 12 of 21 attempts for a rate of 57.1%. Minnesota ended the contest with a 45.6% field goal percentage (41 of 90) and made 10 out of their 26 shots from downtown.

Julius Randle is a guy who was important in the matchup. Randle went 40.0% from the floor and earned 2 assists. He was on the court for 41 minutes played and totaled 10 boards. He walked away with 21 points on 8 of 20 shooting.

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Minnesota will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 49-33 on the campaign. They have an average of 118.0 pts per contest (7th in the NBA) while hitting 48.1% from the floor. The Timberwolves are hitting 37.0% on shots from 3-point land (1,128 of 3,049) and 75.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Minnesota is pulling in 44.1 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,138 assists this season, which ranks 16th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 14.8 times per game and as a group they are committing 21.2 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end of the court, the Timberwolves are forcing 15.0 turnovers per game and they draw 20.5 fouls. They give up 35.5% from 3-point land while they are 12th in the NBA in opponents points per game (114.6). The Timberwolves defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 46.2% (3,395 of 7,352) and they surrender 43.7 boards per contest as a team. They currently rank 10th in basketball in giving up assists with 2,136 conceded for the campaign.

The Spurs came up just short in Game 1, despite a solid defensive effort. The Spurs recorded 34 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 47 in this matchup. They turned it over 14 times, while getting 4 steals in this game. The Timberwolves earned 22 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Spurs to the charity stripe for a total of 18 shots. They were able to convert 14 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 77.8%. When discussing shooting from downtown, San Antonio made 10 out of 36 tries (27.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Spurs went 39 for 87 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.8%. The Spurs permitted the Timberwolves to make 41 of their 90 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.6% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 38.5% from distance via 10 out of 26 and finished the contest at 12 out of 21 from the free throw line (57.1%). In regard to attacking the glass, San Antonio allowed Minnesota to collect 46 in all (12 on the offensive side).

Dylan Harper pitched in for the Spurs in the game. Harper totaled 18 points in his 29 mins of playing time and totaled 4 assists in this matchup. He knocked down 7 of 13 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and tallied 4 rebounds.

San Antonio has a win-loss record of 62-20 on the year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Spurs are hitting on 48.3% from the field, which has them ranked 6th in basketball. San Antonio has tallied 9,826 pts so far this season (119.8 per contest) and they grab 47.0 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 28.1 times per game (9th in basketball) and they are giving up possession 13.5 times per contest. The Spurs are committing 18.9 personal fouls every game while shooting 78.7% from the free throw line.

The San Antonio defense concedes 35.2% on 3-point attempts (1,066 of 3,028) and opponents are connecting on 79.0% of their foul shots. They concede 26.2 assists and 42.6 rebounds every game, which is ranked 12th and 8th in the league. The Spurs on defense are ranked 8th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 111.5. They are forcing 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 45.1% from the floor (4th in basketball).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take San Antonio (-9.5)

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