Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards Prediction, 1/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards

Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: Monumental Sports Network

Capital One Arena is where the Washington Wizards (8-24) will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) on Sunday.

The Timberwolves took the court against the Hawks and went home with a loss by a final score of 126-102 in their last contest. Minnesota walked away from the contest having earned a 42.5% field goal percentage (37 out of 87) and converted 14 of 40 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Timberwolves converted 14 of their 18 shots for a percentage of 77.8%. Regarding pulling down boards, they earned 46 with 11 of them being offensive. They also dished out 22 dimes for this contest as well as forcing 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. With respect to defense, Minnesota allowed their opponent to shoot 49.0% from the field on 51 out of 104 shooting. Atlanta doled out 38 assists and had 9 steals in the game. On top of that, Atlanta grabbed 49 rebounds (16 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 6 rejections. Atlanta ended up going 50.0% from the charity stripe by making 8 of 16 shots. They buried 16 of 42 tries from beyond the perimeter. Concerning fouls, the Timberwolves finished with 16 while the Hawks totaled 15 fouls.

Anthony Edwards is a player who played a role in this contest. Edwards finished shooting 55.6% from the floor and distributed 2 dimes. He played 33 mins played and also totaled 5 rebounds. He scored 30 points on 10 out of 18 shooting.

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Minnesota heads into this contest with a mark of 21-13 on the year. They turn it over 14.3 times per game and as a unit are committing 21.8 fouls per game. As a unit, Minnesota is collecting 44.2 boards per contest and is sitting with 902 assists for the campaign, which ranks 10th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Timberwolves are shooting 36.8% on shots from distance (476 of 1,293) and 75.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 118.8 pts per contest (11th in basketball) while hitting 47.6% from the field.

Defensively, the Timberwolves have forced 14.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.8 personal fouls. They are conceding 35.1% on shots from downtown while they are 11th in the league in points per game allowed (114.6). The Timberwolves are giving up a FG percentage of 45.8% (1,403 of 3,065) and they concede 43.9 boards per contest as a basketball team. They rank 14th in the NBA in giving up assists with 864 surrendered this year.

The last time they took the court, the Wizards got the victory with a final of 114-113 when they faced the Bucks. The Wizards snagged 31 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 44 in the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while earning 8 steals for this game. The Bucks committed 14 fouls for the matchup which took the Wizards to the charity stripe for a total of 20 attempts. They were able to knock down 13 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 65.0%. With respect to three-point shots, Washington converted 19 out of 39 tries (48.7%). When this game wrapped up, the Wizards ended up going 41 for 94 from the field which had them shooting 43.6%. The Wizards allowed the Bucks to convert 41 of their 89 attempts from the field which had them shooting 46.1% for the matchup. They shot 41.0% from 3-point land by going 16 out of 39 and ended up shooting 15 of 22 from the free throw line (68.2%). When discussing cleaning up the glass, Washington permitted Milwaukee to grab 48 overall (11 offensive).

Alex Sarr ended up being a factor for the Wizards in this matchup. He made 7 out of 15 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 46.7%, and accounted for 11 rebounds. Sarr earned 20 points in his 28 minutes of playing time and had 2 dimes for the matchup.

Washington has a win-loss mark of 8-24 for the campaign. The Wizards are responsible for committing 21.9 fouls per contest and they hit 75.5% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 25.5 times per contest (20th in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.3 times per contest. Washington has scored 3,622 pts so far this year (113.2 per contest) and they average 44.3 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Wizards are hitting on 46.1% from the field, which ranks 22nd in the league.

The Washington defense gives up 37.0% on shots from distance (473 of 1,278) and their opponents are converting on 79.7% of their free throw shots. They have given up 29.1 dimes and 48.7 boards on a nightly basis, which is 28th and 30th in the league. The Wizards on the defensive end are ranked 29th in the league in points allowed per game with 124.7. They are forcing their opponents into 12.4 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 47.0% from the field (16th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota

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