Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 1/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: AZ Family Sports Network

The Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) are headed to Mortgage Matchup Center on Sunday where they will take on the Phoenix Suns (19-14).

The Thunder took the court against the Trail Blazers and walked away with a win by a score of 124-95 in their last game. Oklahoma City walked away from the contest with a 48.9% FG percentage (44 out of 90) and buried 16 of 49 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Thunder knocked down 20 of 26 tries for a percentage of 76.9%. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they compiled 41 with 5 of them being offensive. They also distributed 29 assists in the matchup while forcing 25 turnovers and getting 15 steals. Pertaining to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to go 39.1% from the floor on 34 of 87 shooting. Portland totaled 20 assists and had 10 steals for the game. Additionally, Portland grabbed 50 rebounds (12 offensive, 38 defensive) and had 10 rejections. Portland walked away from this one shooting 76.5% when shooting free throws by converting 13 of their 17 attempts. They also made 14 of their 35 tries from distance. Concerning personal fouls, the Thunder ended up finishing with 18 and the Trail Blazers accounted for 21 personal fouls.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a guy who played a role in the game. He totaled 30 points on 11 of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 29 minutes played and snagged 2 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander shot 73.3% from the floor and recorded 6 assists.

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Oklahoma City will play this contest with a win-loss mark of 29-5 for the campaign. They turn it over 12.7 times per contest and as a team are committing 20.6 fouls every game. As a team, Oklahoma City is collecting 44.4 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 882 assists for the season, which has them ranked 15th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Thunder are hitting 36.7% on shots beyond the perimeter (464 of 1,265) and 83.2% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 122.1 points per outing (2nd in the league) while hitting 49.4% from the field.

On defense, the Thunder have forced 18.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 21.0 personal fouls. They are 4th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 816 relinquished for the year. The Thunder defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.3% (1,277 of 2,947) and they concede 43.8 boards per game as a group. They relinquish 37.4% from 3-point land and they are 1st in the league in PPG allowed (107.5).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Suns took a loss by a score of 129-113 against the Cavaliers. The Suns collected 33 defensive rebounds and 19 offensive boards totaling 52 in this matchup. They also turned the ball over 14 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. The Cavaliers were called for 17 personal fouls in this game which got the Suns to the charity stripe for a total of 16 shots. They were able to bury 14 of the free throws for a clip of 87.5%. In terms of shots from downtown, Phoenix buried 15 out of 36 attempts (41.7%). In all, the Suns finished the game shooting 42 for 105 from the field which had them at 40.0%. The Suns allowed the Cavaliers to convert 48 out of their 96 tries from the field which left them shooting 50.0% in this matchup. They shot 39.5% from three-point range by shooting 15 of 38 and finished the game at 18 of 22 at the charity stripe (81.8%). In reference to team rebounding, Phoenix allowed Cleveland to get 54 in all (14 on the offensive glass).

Devin Booker ended up having an impact for the Suns in the matchup. He converted 13 of 25 in the matchup for a rate of 52.0%, and added 2 rebounds. Booker scored 32 points in his 33 minutes of playing time and had 4 dimes for this game.

Phoenix has a mark of 19-14 so far this season. The Suns commit 22.2 fouls every game and they hit 79.7% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 25.5 times per contest (21st in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 15.7 times per contest. Phoenix has earned 3,797 pts so far this year (115.1 per game) and they grab 43.2 rebounds per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Suns are hitting on 46.4% from the field, which ranks them 18th in the league.

The Suns defensively are ranked 7th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 113.8. They are able to force 17.1 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.3% from the floor (19th in the league). The Phoenix defense concedes 35.6% on 3-pointers (414 of 1,164) and their opponents are connecting on 79.4% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 25.3 dimes and 42.9 boards every game, which is ranked 8th and 11th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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