Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 3/17/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Minnesota Timberwolves (41-27) will try to beat the Phoenix Suns (39-28) at Target Center on Tuesday.

The Suns stepped onto the hardwood against the Raptors and took a loss by a score of 122-115 in their last game. Phoenix walked away from the contest having earned a 47.5% field goal percentage (38 out of 80) and converted 18 of their 42 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the free throw line, the Suns converted 21 of their 30 shots for a rate of 70.0%. In relation to getting rebounds, they earned 34 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 20 assists for this game while forcing 12 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In regard to defending, Phoenix allowed their opponent to shoot 53.5% from the field on 46 of 86 shooting. Toronto earned 25 dimes and had 6 steals for this game. Furthermore, Toronto grabbed 44 rebounds (8 offensive, 36 defensive) and got 6 blocks. Toronto walked away from this one shooting 80.0% at the free throw line by converting 16 of 20 attempts. They also made 14 of 27 shots from three-point range. With respect to personal fouls, the Suns ended up finishing with 21 and the Raptors racked up 27 personal fouls.

Jalen Green is someone who played a role for the game. Green finished the game shooting 52.0% from the field and earned 4 dimes. He was on the court for 35 minutes played and grabbed 5 boards. He ended up with 34 points on 13 out of 25 shooting.

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Phoenix will play this contest with a win-loss record of 39-28 this year. They are losing possession via turnover 14.7 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 20.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Phoenix is pulling down 43.1 boards per game and has earned 1,652 assists on the year, which is 27th in the league in terms of passing. The Suns are hitting 36.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (998 of 2,747) and 78.7% from the free throw line. They have an average of 112.5 points per game (26th in basketball) while hitting 45.5% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Suns are forcing 16.3 turnovers every game and they draw 18.7 fouls. They are ranked 4th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,648 surrendered for the season. The Suns defense is giving up a FG percentage of 47.0% (2,695 of 5,740) and they relinquish 44.0 rebounds per game as a group. They concede 34.3% on shots from distance and they are 7th in the league in PPG allowed (111.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Timberwolves took a loss by a final score of 116-103 against the Thunder. Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Minnesota allowed Oklahoma City to pull down 44 in total (15 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 37.5% from 3-point land by connecting on 15 out of 40 and finished the contest at 17 of 19 at the free throw line (89.5%). The Timberwolves allowed the Thunder to make 42 out of their 101 tries from the floor which left them shooting 41.6% for the contest. When the final whistle blew, the Timberwolves shot 36 out of 77 from the field which had them shooting 46.8%. Concerning three-point shots, Minnesota converted 15 of 33 attempts (45.5%). They were able to bury 16 of those for a percentage of 72.7%. The Thunder committed 16 fouls in this matchup which took the Timberwolves to the free throw line for 22 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 25 times, while recording 5 steals in the matchup. The Timberwolves recorded 38 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 46 in this game.

Julius Randle was important for the Timberwolves in this contest. Randle tallied 32 points in his 35 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 6 assists for this game. He converted 11 out of 18 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 61.1%, and had 7 rebounds.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 41-27 for the season. When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves are shooting 48.5% from the field, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Minnesota has totaled 8,055 points so far this season (118.5 per game) and they pull in 44.4 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 26.1 times per contest (16th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.9 times per contest. The Timberwolves are committing 21.3 personal fouls every game and they hit 74.9% from the free throw line.

The Timberwolves are ranked 15th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 115.2. They are forcing 14.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.3% from the floor (9th in the NBA). The Minnesota defense concedes 36.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (852 of 2,367) and their opponents are connecting on 77.8% of their free throw shots. They have given up 26.1 dimes and 42.9 boards per game, which ranks 10th and 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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