Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 10/23/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Friday, October 23, 2026

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (-6.5)

Golden 1 Center is the location where the Sacramento Kings (22-60 last year) will try to beat the Portland Trail Blazers (42-40 last season) on Friday. Portland opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 232.5.

The Trail Blazers faced the Suns and earned the victory with a final of 124-83 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Trail Blazers finished with 18 while the Suns racked up 17 fouls. They also knocked down 6 out of their 31 tries from downtown. Phoenix finished the game shooting 73.9% at the free throw line by knocking down 17 of 23 attempts. On top of that, Phoenix grabbed 39 boards (13 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 1 block. Phoenix doled out 14 assists and had 10 steals in the game. With regard to the defense, Portland allowed the other team to shoot 35.7% from the field on 30 out of 84 shooting. They also recorded 32 assists in this contest in addition to creating 16 turnovers and earning 12 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 56 with 16 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Trail Blazers converted 15 of 18 shots for a rate of 83.3%. Portland finished the contest with a 47.9% field goal percentage (45 out of 94) and converted 19 out of their 47 shots from distance.

Damian Lillard is one guy who was a major contributor in the game. Lillard went 58.3% from the floor and also recorded 6 assists. He saw the court for 24 mins and totaled 3 rebounds. He ended up scoring 25 points on 7 out of 12 shooting.

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Portland comes into this matchup after finishing with a record of 42-40 last year. They turned the ball over 17.3 times per contest and as a group committed 19.9 personal fouls every game. As a group, Portland collected 46.0 rebounds per contest and racked up 2,062 assists over the course of last season, which ranked 23rd in the NBA in terms of passing. The Trail Blazers hit on 34.3% on three-point shots (1,186 of 3,462) and 76.5% from the charity stripe. They averaged 115.5 pts per contest (17th in the league) while hitting 45.3% from the field.

On defense, the Trail Blazers forced 15.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 22.0 personal fouls. They were ranked 13th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,162 surrendered last year. The Trail Blazers defensively allowed a shooting percentage of 47.1% (3,446 of 7,323) and they surrendered 43.0 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They relinquished 35.8% from 3-point land and they were 16th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (115.8).

The last time they took the court, the Kings took a defeat by a final score of 121-96 against the Clippers. In regard to team rebounding, Sacramento allowed Los Angeles to get 49 in total (11 on the offensive glass). They shot 40.0% from distance by connecting on 14 out of 35 and finished the contest at 21 out of 31 from the free throw line (67.7%). The Kings permitted the Clippers to knock down 43 of their 82 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 52.4% for the contest. Overall, the Kings went 36 out of 85 from the floor which had them sitting at 42.4%. Pertaining to three-point attempts, Sacramento knocked down 8 of 28 tries (28.6%). They were able to bury 16 of the free throw tries for a clip of 57.1%. The Clippers had 24 fouls in this game which took the Kings to the charity stripe for a total of 28 tries. They turned it over 17 times, while getting 10 steals for the game. The Kings were able to snag 31 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards for a total of 42 for the matchup.

Zach LaVine ended up being a major contributor for the Kings in this contest. He buried 10 out of 19 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 52.6%, and had 4 rebounds. LaVine totaled 28 points in his 34 minutes of playing time and accounted for 4 assists for the matchup.

Sacramento had a record of 22-60 last season. The Kings committed 19.7 fouls per game and they shot 77.2% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates was at 25.5 times per game (20th in the NBA) and they coughed up possession 14.3 times per game. Sacramento earned 9,102 pts throughout last year (111.0 per contest) and they grabbed 42.3 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Kings shot 46.7% from the floor, which had them ranked 18th in basketball.

The Sacramento defense conceded 37.9% on shots from beyond the arc (1,134 of 2,991) and opponents knocked down 78.9% of their free throw attempts. They relinquished 28.0 dimes and 43.9 boards per game, ranking them 24th and 17th in those categories on the defensive end. The Kings were ranked 27th in the league in PPG allowed with 121.0. They forced their opponents into 14.0 turnovers per game and let teams shoot 49.4% from the field (29th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (+6.5)

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