Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 3/28/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: NBA TV

The Atlanta Hawks (41-32) are hosting the Sacramento Kings (19-55) at State Farm Arena on Saturday.

The Kings took the court against the Magic and took a loss by a final of 121-117 in their last contest. With respect to personal fouls, the Kings ended up finishing with 21 while the Magic had 19 personal fouls. They made 13 of 27 shots from downtown. Orlando walked away from this one shooting 87.5% at the charity stripe by making 28 of 32 shots. Moreover, Orlando snagged 43 rebounds (12 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 2 blocked shots. Orlando recorded 28 assists and had 5 steals for this contest. Concerning the defense, Sacramento allowed the other team to go 54.1% from the floor on 40 of 74 shooting. They also recorded 26 assists in the game while creating 18 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In the matter of hauling in boards, they compiled 24 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Kings buried 13 of 16 shots for a rate of 81.3%. Sacramento walked away from the game with a 51.1% FG percentage (45 out of 88) and buried 14 of 33 shots from 3-point land.

DeMar DeRozan is someone who was important for the game. DeRozan finished the contest at 50.0% from the floor and dished out 11 dimes. He was on the court for 38 minutes and grabbed 6 boards. He scored 33 points on 12 out of 24 shooting.

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Sacramento heads into this one with a win-loss mark of 19-55 on the season. They are averaging 110.8 points per outing (28th in basketball) while shooting 46.6% from the floor. The Kings are connecting on 34.0% on shots from 3-point land (755 of 2,218) and 77.5% from the free throw line. As a team, Sacramento is snagging 42.0 rebounds per game and has totaled 1,898 assists this year, which ranks 17th in the NBA in terms of passing. They are turning it over 14.2 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.7 fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Kings have forced 14.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.3 fouls. They are 27th in the league in giving up assists with 2,061 relinquished for the season. The Kings defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 49.4% (3,264 of 6,603) and they surrender 44.6 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 37.6% on shots from distance and they are 28th in the league in PPG allowed (121.2).

The last time they took the court, the Hawks took home the win by a final score of 130-129 when they played the Pistons. The Hawks recorded 35 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 43 in the matchup. They turned the ball over 26 times, while getting 11 steals in the game. The Pistons committed 30 fouls in the matchup which took the Hawks to the free throw line for a total of 17 shots. They were able to make 12 of the free throw tries for a rate of 70.6%. When discussing three-point attempts, Atlanta knocked down 18 out of their 52 tries (34.6%). Overall, the Hawks finished the game shooting 50 out of 105 from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.6%. The Hawks allowed the Pistons to bury 52 of their 102 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 51.0% for the matchup. They shot 27.3% from 3-point land by going 9 of 33 and walked away from this one shooting 16 out of 19 at the charity stripe (84.2%). When talking about cleaning the glass, Atlanta permitted Detroit to pull down 27 in all (5 on the offensive side).

Jalen Johnson ended up being a factor for the Hawks for this contest. He converted 9 of 18 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and accounted for 8 rebounds. Johnson scored 27 points in his 42 mins on the court and totaled 12 dimes in this matchup.

Atlanta has a mark of 41-32 for the year. As an offense, the Hawks are connecting on 47.4% from the field, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Atlanta has totaled 8,644 pts on the season (118.4 per contest) and they grab 43.5 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 30.4 times per contest (1st in basketball) and they are turning it over 14.3 times per game. The Hawks have committed 19.6 fouls per contest and they hit 77.7% from the charity stripe.

The Atlanta defense concedes 35.6% on 3-point attempts (953 of 2,679) and their opponents are connecting on 79.4% of their free throw shots. They allow 26.7 assists and 45.5 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 15th and 24th in the league. The Hawks on the defensive side of the court are 18th in the league in PPG given up with 116.6. They are able to force 16.1 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.4% from the field (18th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento

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