Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 2/26/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks (21-36) will compete against the Sacramento Kings (13-46) at American Airlines Center on Thursday.

The Kings faced off with the Grizzlies and took home the win by a score of 123-114 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Kings ended up with 15 while the Grizzlies finished the game with 18 personal fouls. They also knocked down 12 of their 34 shots from beyond the arc. Memphis walked away from this one shooting 90.0% from the charity stripe by making 18 of 20 tries. On top of that, Memphis snagged 37 rebounds (9 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 7 rejections. Memphis recorded 33 dimes and had 13 steals for the matchup. In relation to the defense, Sacramento allowed the other team to shoot 48.3% from the floor on 42 out of 87 shooting. They also doled out 30 assists in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 18 turnovers and getting 12 steals. When it comes to pulling down boards, they compiled 45 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Kings buried 19 of their 25 tries for a rate of 76.0%. Sacramento ended with a 50.0% field goal percentage (47 of 94) and buried 10 of 29 3-pointers.

Russell Westbrook is one player who was a major contributor in this matchup. He walked away with 25 points on 8 of 17 shooting. He played for 33 mins and also pulled down 2 boards. Westbrook walked away from this one shooting 47.1% from the floor and earned 7 assists.

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Sacramento comes into this contest with a record of 13-46 this year. They are averaging 110.3 points per contest (29th in basketball) on 46.2% from the floor. The Kings are connecting on 34.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (607 of 1,783) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Sacramento is collecting 41.4 boards per game and has 1,482 assists this year, which has them ranked 18th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 14.6 times per contest and as a unit they commit 20.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Kings are forcing 14.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.8 fouls. They are relinquishing 36.4% on three-point shots while they are 28th in the NBA in points per game allowed (121.0). The Kings defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 49.5% (2,607 of 5,264) and they relinquish 44.7 boards per game as a group. They are 26th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,634 conceded so far this year.

In their last game, the Mavericks got the win with a final of 123-114 when they faced the Nets. Concerning cleaning the glass, Dallas permitted Brooklyn to snag 28 in all (5 on the offensive side). They finished 40.6% from downtown by connecting on 13 of 32 and ended up going 19 of 27 from the free throw line (70.4%). The Mavericks allowed the Nets to make 41 of their 80 tries from the floor which had them at 51.3% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks finished 48 out of 82 from the field which had them sitting at 58.5%. In terms of three-point shots, Dallas converted 8 out of 23 attempts (34.8%). They were able to convert 19 of the free throw tries for a rate of 79.2%. The Nets had 21 fouls in this contest which got the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 24 attempts. They also gave up possession 16 times, while recording 5 steals for the matchup. The Mavericks were able to corral 34 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 44 in this matchup.

Marvin Bagley III was important for the Mavericks in this contest. Bagley had 22 points in his 20 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for this contest. He buried 10 out of 13 for this game for a rate of 76.9%, and had 5 rebounds.

Dallas has a mark of 21-36 on the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.3% from the floor, which ranks 11th in the league. Dallas has scored 6,521 pts this season (114.4 per contest) and they collect 44.7 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 25.1 times per game (23rd in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.6 times per game. The Mavericks are committing 18.4 personal fouls every game and they shoot 74.5% from the charity stripe.

The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 21st in the league in points allowed per contest with 117.6. They are forcing 13.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.8% from the field (14th in the NBA). The Dallas defense allows 34.3% on shots from distance (704 of 2,055) and opponents are converting on 77.6% of their foul shots. They concede 27.5 assists and 46.7 rebounds every game, which ranks 24th and 27th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento

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