San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/23/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, March 23, 2026

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The San Antonio Spurs (53-18) are on their way to Kaseya Center on Monday where they will try to defeat the Miami Heat (38-33).

The Spurs stepped onto the hardwood against the Pacers and walked away with a win by a score of 134-119 in their last game. San Antonio ended having earned a 54.6% FG percentage (53 out of 97) and made 13 of their 34 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Spurs converted 15 of their 17 tries for a percentage of 88.2%. Regarding getting rebounds, they earned 39 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 29 assists in the game while forcing 16 turnovers and having 8 steals. In the matter of defending, San Antonio allowed the other team to shoot 51.8% from the floor on 44 out of 85 shooting. Indiana earned 27 dimes and had 4 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Indiana collected 56 rebounds (16 offensive, 40 defensive) and earned 8 blocks. Indiana finished 78.9% at the free throw line by making 15 of their 19 attempts. They also knocked down 16 of 35 tries from beyond the perimeter. When talking about fouls, the Spurs finished with 25 while the Pacers accumulated 26 fouls.

Dylan Harper is a player who was a major contributor for the contest. He notched 24 points on 9 out of 13 shooting. He saw the court for 28 minutes played and also snagged 4 rebounds. Harper finished shooting 69.2% from the floor and also totaled 3 assists.

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San Antonio enters this one with a mark of 53-18 for the season. They turn it over 13.5 times per contest and as a group are committing 19.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, San Antonio is grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game and has 1,958 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 10th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Spurs are shooting 35.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (965 of 2,687) and 78.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 119.0 pts per game (3rd in the NBA) while connecting on 48.1% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Spurs are forcing 13.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.4 personal fouls. They are surrendering 35.6% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 7th in basketball in PPG allowed (111.7). The Spurs defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 45.1% (2,911 of 6,449) and they concede 42.9 boards per game as a group. They currently rank 11th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,863 conceded for the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Heat took a defeat with a final score of 123-122 when they played the Rockets. The Heat were able to pull down 34 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 42 in the matchup. They turned it over 17 times, while earning 6 steals in the game. The Rockets had 21 personal fouls in this contest which got the Heat to the free throw line for 16 attempts. They were able to bury 12 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 75.0%. When talking about shots from downtown, Miami converted 16 of their 41 attempts (39.0%). Overall, the Heat finished the game shooting 47 for 92 from the floor which gave them a rate of 51.1%. The Heat permitted the Rockets to make 45 of 86 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.3% in the game. They finished 45.7% from three-point range by shooting 16 out of 35 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 21 at the charity stripe (81.0%). When it comes to how they attacked the glass, Miami allowed Houston to get 38 in all (12 offensive).

Bam Adebayo ended up being a major contributor for the Heat for the contest. Adebayo had 32 points in his 45 minutes on the court and had 4 assists for the contest. He made 12 of 21 in this game giving him a rate of 57.1%, and had 21 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 38-33 this year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are hitting on 46.5% from the field, which has them ranked 18th in the NBA. Miami has accumulated 8,542 points this year (120.3 per game) and they collect 46.8 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 28.7 times per game (6th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.8 times per game. The Heat have committed 19.0 fouls per contest while shooting 79.1% from the free throw line.

The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 22nd in the league in PPG surrendered with 117.2. They are forcing 15.6 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the floor (6th in the league). The Miami defense gives up 35.1% from downtown (976 of 2,781) and opponents are knocking down 80.4% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 27.0 dimes and 46.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 18th and 28th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Antonio

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