Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 5/3/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+7.5)

Rocket Arena is the location where the Cleveland Cavaliers (52-30) will attempt to defeat the Toronto Raptors (46-36) on Sunday in Game 7 of their 1st round series. Toronto opens as 7.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 210.5.

The Raptors took home the win by a score of 112-110 in Game 6. With respect to fouls, the Raptors ended up finishing with 25 and the Cavaliers accounted for 21 fouls. They buried 11 out of their 41 shots from three-point range. Cleveland finished the contest at 70.4% when shooting free throws by knocking down 19 of 27 shots. In addition, Cleveland snagged 52 rebounds (19 offensive, 33 defensive) and got 9 blocked shots. Cleveland recorded 23 dimes and had 8 steals for the contest. Pertaining to defending, Toronto allowed the other team to shoot 43.0% from the floor on 40 of 93 shooting. They also distributed 27 assists in the game in addition to creating 18 turnovers and having 13 steals. In relation to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 38 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Raptors converted 19 of 23 tries for a rate of 82.6%. Toronto ended with a 46.0% FG percentage (40 out of 87) and knocked down 13 of their 36 three-point attempts.

Scottie Barnes is one player who played a role for this game. He totaled 25 points on 11 of 21 shooting. He played for 48 minutes and also pulled down 7 boards. Barnes shot 52.4% from the field and also distributed 14 dimes.

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Toronto comes into this one with a record of 46-36 this year. They lose possession via turnover 13.7 times per contest and as a unit are committing 20.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Toronto is snagging 42.1 rebounds per game and has earned 2,417 assists on the year, which ranks 3rd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Raptors are connecting on 35.4% from downtown (932 of 2,633) and 76.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 114.6 pts per game (21st in the league) while going 48.2% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Raptors are forcing 16.1 turnovers per game and they draw 19.8 fouls. They relinquish 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 9th in basketball in PPG allowed (111.8). The Raptors defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.7% (3,289 of 7,047) and they concede 42.9 rebounds per game as a unit. They currently rank 2nd in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,006 surrendered so far this season.

Cleveland was unable to close out the series in Game 6. The Cavaliers were able to snag 33 defensive rebounds and 19 offensive boards totaling 52 in this contest. They turned it over 18 times, while getting 8 steals for this contest. The Raptors were called for 25 personal fouls for the contest which got the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for a total of 27 attempts. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 70.4%. When it comes to shots from beyond the arc, Cleveland converted 11 of 41 tries (26.8%). At the conclusion of this game, the Cavaliers ended up going 40 out of 93 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.0%. The Cavaliers permitted the Raptors to knock down 40 of their 87 attempts from the field which had them shooting 46.0% in this contest. They finished 36.1% from 3-point land by going 13 out of 36 and ended up going 19 out of 23 from the charity stripe (82.6%). In reference to how they attacked the glass, Cleveland allowed Toronto to grab 38 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Evan Mobley ended up being important for the Cavaliers in this matchup. He converted 9 of 15 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and had 14 rebounds. Mobley totaled 26 points in his 41 mins on the court and earned 3 dimes for the contest.

Cleveland has a win-loss mark of 52-30 on the campaign. The Cavaliers have committed 19.6 fouls per game and they go 77.6% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 28.3 times per contest (8th in the NBA) and they lose possession via turnover 14.0 times per game. Cleveland has accounted for 9,801 points for the campaign (119.5 per game) and they grab 44.4 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Cavaliers are hitting on 48.2% from the floor, which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

The Cavaliers on defense are ranked 15th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 115.4. They are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.4% from the floor (8th in the league). The Cleveland defense surrenders 37.2% on 3-point shots (1,163 of 3,127) and opponents are making 79.4% of their free throw shots. They concede 26.9 dimes and 43.2 rebounds per game, which is 16th and 12th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-7.5)

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