Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/10/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Toyota Center vs Toronto Raptors

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Toyota Center is the site where the Houston Rockets (39-24) will attempt to beat the Toronto Raptors (36-27) on Tuesday.

The Raptors played the Mavericks and earned the victory with a final of 122-92 in their last contest. Toronto walked away from the game having earned a 50.5% field goal percentage (48 out of 95) and made 10 out of their 36 3-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Raptors made 16 of 22 attempts for a rate of 72.7%. With regard to pulling down boards, they collected a total of 42 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 39 assists in the matchup while forcing 19 turnovers and earning 11 steals. In terms of the defense, Toronto allowed their opponent to shoot 39.8% from the floor on 35 out of 88 shooting. Dallas totaled 22 assists and had 5 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Dallas grabbed 47 boards (13 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 4 blocked shots. Dallas finished 85.0% at the charity stripe by converting 17 of 20 attempts. They also knocked down 5 out of their 30 tries from downtown. In relation to personal fouls, the Raptors ended up finishing with 19 while the Mavericks totaled 20 personal fouls.

RJ Barrett is a player who was a major contributor in this game. He left the arena with 31 points on 13 of 19 shooting. He was on the court for 34 minutes played and also snagged 6 rebounds. Barrett ended up going 68.4% from the field and also dished out 3 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Picks Today

Toronto steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 36-27 this year. They average 113.7 points per outing (22nd in the NBA) while hitting 47.4% from the field. The Raptors are shooting 34.6% on shots from distance (718 of 2,077) and 78.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Toronto is pulling in 42.6 boards per game and has accumulated 1,833 assists for the campaign, which is 6th in the NBA in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 13.8 times per game and as a group they are committing 20.8 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Raptors are forcing 16.0 turnovers every game and they draw 19.5 personal fouls. They give up 34.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 8th in basketball in PPG allowed (111.7). The Raptors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 46.3% (2,521 of 5,445) and they relinquish 43.5 boards per game as a squad. They are ranked 3rd in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,549 surrendered this season.

When they last played, the Rockets took a loss by a score of 145-120 when they faced the Spurs. When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, Houston permitted San Antonio to grab 32 overall (6 on the offensive glass). They shot 52.5% from distance by shooting 21 out of 40 and finished the game at 22 of 27 from the charity stripe (81.5%). The Rockets permitted the Spurs to convert 51 out of their 88 attempts from the floor which had them at 58.0% for the matchup. In all, the Rockets finished 42 out of 87 from the floor which had them at 48.3%. With regard to 3-pointers, Houston made 8 of 28 tries (28.6%). They were able to bury 28 of them for a percentage of 87.5%. The Spurs committed 26 personal fouls in this game which took the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 32 attempts. They coughed it up 12 times, while recording 5 steals for the contest. The Rockets corralled 29 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 37 for the matchup.

Kevin Durant pitched in for the Rockets in the game. Durant tallied 23 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 4 assists for the contest. He knocked down 7 out of 12 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 58.3%, and accumulated 5 rebounds.

Houston has a record of 39-24 this year. The Rockets have committed 18.6 fouls per contest and they go 76.3% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 24.7 times per game (25th in the league) and they turn it over 15.6 times per contest. Houston has scored 7,220 pts so far this season (114.6 per contest) and they snag 48.2 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Rockets are connecting on 47.6% from the floor, which is 9th in the NBA.

The Rockets on the defensive end are ranked 4th in the NBA in PPG given up with 109.9. They are forcing 13.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.8% from the field (7th in the league). The Houston defense gives up 35.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (781 of 2,226) and their opponents are connecting on 75.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 24.5 assists and 39.7 total boards per game, ranking them 2nd and 2nd in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.