Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 3/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA

TV: Gulf Coast Sports

The Toronto Raptors (36-27) are en route to Smoothie King Center on Wednesday where they will play the New Orleans Pelicans (21-45).

The Raptors faced the Mavericks and took home the win by a score of 122-92 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Raptors ended up finishing with 19 while the Mavericks totaled 20 personal fouls. They also converted 5 of their 30 shots from beyond the arc. Dallas ended up going 85.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 17 of 20 attempts. On top of that, Dallas had 47 rebounds (13 offensive, 34 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Dallas distributed 22 assists and had 5 steals in this game. In relation to defense, Toronto let their opponent shoot 39.8% from the field on 35 out of 88 shooting. They also recorded 39 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 19 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In relation to pulling down boards, they earned a total of 42 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Raptors made 16 of their 22 tries for a percentage of 72.7%. Toronto walked away from the game having earned a 50.5% FG percentage (48 out of 95) and made 10 out of their 36 3-pointers.

RJ Barrett is one player who was a contributor in this contest. Barrett finished the game shooting 68.4% from the floor and also earned 3 assists. He played 34 minutes played and grabbed 6 boards. He was able to score 31 points on 13 of 19 shooting.

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Toronto will enter this game with a mark of 36-27 this season. They average 113.7 points per game (22nd in the NBA) on 47.4% from the field. The Raptors are connecting on 34.6% on shots from 3-point land (718 of 2,077) and 78.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Toronto is pulling down 42.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,833 assists on the year, which is 7th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 13.8 times per game and as a squad are committing 20.8 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Raptors have forced 16.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,549 surrendered on the year. The Raptors defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 46.3% (2,521 of 5,445) and they relinquish 43.5 boards per game as a team. They are conceding 34.7% from 3-point land and they rank 8th in basketball in PPG allowed (111.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the Pelicans walked away with a victory by a final of 138-118 against the Wizards. The Pelicans corralled 32 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 44 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while earning 11 steals for this game. The Wizards earned 31 personal fouls in this contest which got the Pelicans to the free throw line for a total of 47 shots. They were able to bury 37 of them for a percentage of 78.7%. In the matter of shots from 3-point land, New Orleans made 7 out of 23 attempts (30.4%). At the conclusion of this game, the Pelicans went 47 out of 89 from the field which had them at 52.8%. The Pelicans permitted the Wizards to bury 41 of their 91 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 45.1% in the matchup. They shot 33.3% from 3-point land by shooting 14 of 42 and finished the contest at 22 out of 27 from the free throw line (81.5%). Regarding team rebounding, New Orleans allowed Washington to collect 41 overall (13 on the offensive side).

Trey Murphy III was important for the Pelicans for the game. He made 7 out of 14 for the matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and tallied 5 rebounds. Murphy had 24 points in his 29 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 4 dimes in this matchup.

New Orleans has a record of 21-45 for the campaign. The Pelicans commit 20.1 fouls per game and they connect on 78.9% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 25.1 times per contest (22nd in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 14.3 times per contest. New Orleans has accounted for 7,623 points on the year (115.5 per game) and they pull in 43.9 boards per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Pelicans are connecting on 46.4% from the floor, which is 19th in the league.

The Pelicans on the defensive side of the court are 27th in the league in points per game surrendered with 120.2. They are forcing their opponents into 14.7 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.6% from the floor (24th in the NBA). The New Orleans defense concedes 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc (949 of 2,719) and their opposition knocks down 77.9% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 28.0 assists and 45.6 rebounds every game, which is 27th and 24th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New Orleans

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