Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 12/8/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Monday, December 8, 2025
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
TV: Sportsnet
Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-275) Maple Leafs (+220)
The Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-3) will go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-9-2) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. The odds on this game have the Lightning at -275 while the Maple Leafs are sitting at +220. The over/under has been set at 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look for better times on the ice after their 4-3 defeat to the Penguins in their previous game. Tampa Bay recorded 13 penalty mins in this game. The Lightning had an average offensive performance in the defeat. Moreover, they had 6 power play tries and netted 1 goal. For the matchup, they scored on 3 of the 40 shots they tried.
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When talking about their scoring, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 88 goals (8th in hockey) for the year and have surrendered 71. For the current campaign, they have tallied 34 points and their points percentage comes in at .630. Tampa Bay comes into tonight with 86 power play chances and they have added 14 goals out of those tries, earning them a rate of 16.28%. At even strength, the Lightning have allowed 60 goals while earning 74 when they are on offense. Tampa Bay has taken 734 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 12.0%. The Lightning thus far have had 743 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .904. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 87 power play tries (9th in hockey) and have come away with 11 goals in those attempts.
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Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has been in net for 559 games during his professional hockey career. He has an overall record of 342-169-37 and he was named the starter in 549 games. Opponents have been able to score 1,378 goals against Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has had 16,616 shots against him and has gathered 15,238 saves. His save percentage is .917 during his 28,667 minutes played. For his career, Vasilevskiy has accounted for 320 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .583.
In their last contest, Toronto faced the Hurricanes in a matchup where the Maple Leafs took home the win by a mark of 5-1. They had 2 power play attempts in this contest but didn't score a goal. The Maple Leafs recorded 5 goals of the 24 shots on goal they pursued.
Toronto has put up 735 shots (20th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 12.79%, while allowing the opposition 844 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 81.82% on their oppositions 77 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 89.2%. They have recorded 68 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 14.71%. The Maple Leafs have accumulated 84 goals at even strength and 10 goals (32nd in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 91 goals to be scored by of a combination of 77 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they were shorthanded. This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 94 goals, 29 points, as well as a points percentage of .537.
For the opposition you are likely to see Joseph Woll in net. Teams are averaging 2.73 goals per contest and he has surrendered 227 goals altogether. Woll's percentage of quality starts sits at 61.4% and he has made 51 quality starts in his pro career. He has made the start in 83 games and has been on the ice for 4,152 mins. Woll has amassed a career record of 52-30-3 and has been in net for 86 games. He has recorded 2,337 stops out of 2,564 shots taken, which gives him a save % of .911.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-275)
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Additional Resources:
Toronto Maple Leafs - Twitter
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter

