Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka

UFC 303

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 29, 2024

Alex Pereira will face off with Jiri Prochazka at UFC 303 on Saturday, June 29, 2024. The opening line has Pereira coming in at -162 while Prochazka is at +136.

Alex "Poatan" Pereira steps into the cage holding a record of 10-2-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Jiri Prochazka measures 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 30-4-1. The 31-year-old extends his reach 80". Regarding significant strikes, Alex Pereira is landing 5.10 per minute and Jiri Prochazka connects on 5.75 significant strikes per minute. Pereira is connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he attempts and Prochazka is connecting on 56%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Poatan" allows 3.65 significant strikes per minute and Prochazka allows 5.43. Pereira also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Prochazka stops 41% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Alex Pereira is not as effective of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.18 times per 15 minutes. Pereira is scoring a takedown on 85% of his tries and stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Prochazka is taking his opponents to the mat on 60% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 68% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the submission, Pereira is the more apt fighter by going for 0.4 submissions per 15 min while Prochazka tries 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Alex Pereira squared up with Jamahal Hill and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Hill ended up landing 12 of 22 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Pereira finished this fight landing 24 of 30 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Hill landed 12 of 22, giving him a percentage of 54%. He landed 1 of 7 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Pereira landed 80% of his significant strikes by landing 24 of 30. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 12 of 15 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Hill and 54% of them connected on by Pereira were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jiri Prochazka, he battled Aleksandar Rakic and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Rakic ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Prochazka connected on 65% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Prochazka ended up connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 69 of 118. He connected on 56 of 101 significant strikes directed at the head. Rakic ended up connecting on 58 of 109 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 34 of 77 aimed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Rakic ended up connecting on 58 of 109 and Prochazka connected on 69 of 118 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Brian Ortega meets Diego Lopes. Ortega will be looking to add a victory to his record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 69". Lopes stands 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 24-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". In terms of takedowns, Brian Ortega gets his opposition to the mat 1.17 times per 3 rounds while Diego Lopes gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Ortega connects for an average of 4.07 strikes per min and is connecting on 38% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Diego Lopes, who is connecting on 58% of the strikes he has tried and lands 3.22 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Roman Dolidze is set to fight Anthony Smith. Smith holds a career record of 38-19-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Dolidze stands in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 12-3-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". Regarding wrestling, Anthony Smith is able to curb 49% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 26% of his attempts. Dolidze is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 33% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Smith takes 4.47 strikes per minute and he lands 3.23 strikes/min. Dolidze, in contrast, is absorbing 3.36 strikes/min and is connecting on 2.62 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alex Pereira (-162)

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