Andrei Arlovski vs Martin Buday Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

Andrei Arlovski vs Martin Buday

UFC 303

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 29, 2024

Andrei Arlovski will take on Martin Buday at UFC 303 on Saturday, June 29, 2024. The opening moneyline has Arlovski coming in at +215 while Buday is at -265.

Andrei "The Pitbull" Arlovski has a career mark of 34-23-0 (2 NC). The 45-year-old is weighing in at 240 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Martin "Badys" Buday measures 6'4" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 13-2-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 77". Concerning significant strikes, Andrei Arlovski lands 3.78 per minute and Martin Buday is connecting on 5.17 significant strikes per min. Arlovski lands 45% of the significant strikes he attempts and Buday is connecting on 52%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Pitbull" takes 3.20 significant strikes per minute while "Badys" takes 5.70. Arlovski also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Buday is able to deflect 54% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to wrestling, Andrei Arlovski is the more productive wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.38 times per 3 rds. Arlovski is taking his opponents to the canvas on 36% of his attempts and is defending 76% of the takedowns his opponents try. Buday is scoring a takedown on 25% of his takedown attempts and is defending 85% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Arlovski is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.2 subs per 15 min while Buday goes for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Andrei Arlovski fought Waldo Cortes-Acosta and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Cortes-Acosta ended up landing 50 of 137 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Arlovski ended the night having landed 58 of 127 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Cortes-Acosta ended up landing 49 of 136, which gave him a percentage of 36%. He landed 24 of 97 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Arlovski landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 58 of 127. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 13 of 63 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Cortes-Acosta and 100% of them landed by Arlovski were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Martin Buday, he squared up with Shamil Gaziev and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 2. Gaziev ended up landing 71% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Buday connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Buday connected on 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 8 of 20. He connected on 8 of 19 significant strikes to the head. Gaziev connected on 49 of 98 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 35 of 79 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Gaziev was 60 of 114 while Buday ended up connecting on 13 of 26 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Rei Tsuruya fights Carlos Hernandez. Tsuruya has a record of 9-0-0. The 22-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Hernandez comes in at 5'8" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 67". When it comes to grappling, Rei Tsuruya is able to score a takedown 6.84 times per 3 rds while Carlos Hernandez takes his opponents to the mat 1.11 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Tsuruya connects on 2.93 strikes/minute and landing 62% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Carlos Hernandez, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 4.95 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Vinicius Oliveira is set to clash with Ricky Simon. Simon has a career mark of 20-5-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Oliveira stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-3-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding takedowns, Ricky Simon prevents 76% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his tries. Oliveira is taking his opponents down on 50% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 40% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Simon is taking 3.61 strikes per min and he is landing 3.01 strikes/minute. Oliveira, moreover, is absorbing 2.94 strikes per minute and connects on 5.42 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Andrei Arlovski (+215)

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