Brian Ortega vs Diego Lopes Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

Brian Ortega vs Diego Lopes

UFC 303

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 29, 2024

Brian Ortega will face off with Diego Lopes at UFC 303 on Saturday, June 29, 2024. The opening moneyline has Ortega priced at +120 while Lopes is at -142.

Brian "T-City" Ortega will be looking to add a victory to his record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 69". Diego Lopes stands 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 24-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Brian Ortega is connecting on 4.07 per min and Diego Lopes lands 3.22 significant strikes per minute. Ortega connects on 38% of the significant strikes he tries and Lopes is landing 58%. When it comes to defending themselves, "T-City" allows 6.54 significant strikes per min while Lopes takes 4.73. Ortega also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Lopes is able to defend against 37% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

When it comes to grappling, Brian Ortega is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.17 times per 3 rounds. Ortega is getting his opponent to the mat on 27% of his attempts and stopping 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Lopes is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 42% of the attempts against him. Regarding submissions, Ortega is less apt at going for the finish by trying 1.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Lopes looks to get 5.0 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Brian Ortega squared up with Yair Rodriguez and got a win for the night via an arm triangle in round 3. Rodriguez landed 64 of 135 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ortega walked away from this fight having landed 47 of 104 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Rodriguez ended up landing 55 of 115, which gave him a rate of 47%. He ended up landing 36 of 91 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Ortega ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by sticking 28 of 73. Of those significant strikes, he landed 26 of 69 pointed at the head. 61% of the significant strikes landed by Rodriguez and 46% of them connected on by Ortega were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Diego Lopes, he faced off with Sodiq Yusuff and got a win for the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Yusuff connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Lopes landed 11% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Lopes ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 26 of 32. He landed 21 of 27 significant strikes aimed at the head. Yusuff ended up connecting on 2 of 5 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 1 aimed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Yusuff connected on 2 of 5 and Lopes ended up landing 29 of 35 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Anthony Smith faces off with Roman Dolidze. Smith holds a career record of 38-19-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Dolidze stands in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 12-3-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". When it comes to grappling, Anthony Smith takes his opponents to the canvas 0.49 times per 15 minutes and Roman Dolidze gets a takedown 1.30 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Smith lands 3.23 strikes per minute and connecting on 48% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Roman Dolidze, who connects on 39% of the strikes he attempts and lands 2.62 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Michael Page is set to battle Ian Machado Garry. Machado Garry holds a record of 14-0-0. The 26-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Page stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-2-0. The 37-year-old reaches 79". Regarding wrestling, Ian Machado Garry is able to curb 69% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 75% of his attempts. Page is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 66% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Machado Garry absorbs 3.49 strikes per min while he connects on 6.27 per min. Page, in contrast, takes 1.60 strikes/min and lands 3.14 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Diego Lopes (-142)

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