Rei Tsuruya vs Carlos Hernandez Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

Rei Tsuruya vs Carlos Hernandez

UFC 303

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 29, 2024

Rei Tsuruya will battle Carlos Hernandez at UFC 303 on Saturday, June 29, 2024. The opener has Tsuruya at -485 while Hernandez is priced at +370.

Rei Tsuruya has a record of 9-0-0. The 22-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Carlos Hernandez comes in at 5'8" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 67". Concerning significant strikes, Rei Tsuruya is landing 2.93 per min while Carlos Hernandez connects on 4.95 significant strikes per min. Tsuruya connects on 62% of the significant strikes he attempts while Hernandez is landing 46%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Tsuruya takes 1.44 significant strikes per min while Hernandez absorbs 4.54. Tsuruya also defends against 44% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Hernandez deflects 46% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, Rei Tsuruya is the more productive wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 6.84 times per 15 min. Tsuruya is taking his opponents to the canvas on 54% of the times he tries and is stuffing 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Hernandez is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 65% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Tsuruya is the more skilled fighter by trying 4.0 subs per 3 rds while Hernandez goes for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Rei Tsuruya fought Jiniushiyue and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Jiniushiyue landed 3 of 9 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Tsuruya ended the night having landed 41 of 55 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Jiniushiyue ended up landing 3 of 8, which means his percentage was 37%. He landed 1 of 3 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Tsuruya ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 25. Out of those significant strikes, he was 12 of 20 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Jiniushiyue and 13% of them connected on by Tsuruya were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Carlos Hernandez, he battled Tatsuro Taira and took a loss on the night by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Taira connected on 21% of his significant strikes at distance while Hernandez ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Hernandez connected on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 2 of 4. He connected on 2 of 4 significant strikes aimed at the head. Taira ended up connecting on 33 of 43 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 30 of 40 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Taira ended up connecting on 44 of 60 and Hernandez landed 2 of 4 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ricky Simon faces off against Vinicius Oliveira. Simon has a career mark of 20-5-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Oliveira stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-3-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of takedowns, Ricky Simon takes his opponents down 5.49 times per 3 rds and Vinicius Oliveira takes his opponents to the mat 1.69 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Simon connects for an average of 3.01 strikes per min and is landing 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Vinicius Oliveira, who tags his opponent on 47% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 5.42 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Macy Chiasson is set to battle Mayra Bueno Silva. Bueno Silva steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-3-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Chiasson stands 5'11" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 32-year-old stretches 72". Regarding wrestling, Mayra Bueno Silva prevents 68% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 38% of the times she tries. Chiasson is taking her opponents down on 37% of her tries and is able to deflect 62% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Bueno Silva is absorbing 4.86 strikes/min while she is landing 3.84 strikes per min. Chiasson, notwithstanding, is taking 2.53 strikes/min and is landing 3.53 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Carlos Hernandez (+370)

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